Ohio State 83, BYU 94
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center. Ohio State our rank 50 · 2-1; BYU AP 23, our rank 33 · 4-0.
Who won Ohio State vs BYU?
Final: BYU 94, Ohio State 83. Before tip-off the model gave BYU a 48% chance to win — an upset, with a projected margin of 0.7 points for Ohio State. Robert Wright III scored 35 for BYU; Amare Bynum had 20 for Ohio State.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without John Mobley Jr.: Ohio State 39%BYU 61%
The white mark is the call with him: Ohio State 52%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Ohio State without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State | ||||
| John Mobley Jr. | 3.5 | 39% | −13 | 69–72 |
| Amare Bynum | 3.2 | 40% | −12 | 69–72 |
| Justin Pippen | 2.8 | 42% | −10 | 70–72 |
| Andrija Jelavic | 2.6 | 43% | −9 | 70–71 |
| BYU | ||||
| Robert Wright III | 4.4 | 70% | +18 | 73–68 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 4.1 | 69% | +17 | 73–68 |
| Collin Chandler | 3.4 | 66% | +14 | 73–69 |
| Jake Wahlin | 1.9 | 61% | +9 | 72–69 |
Change is in Ohio State's win chance, in points. Scores read Ohio State, then BYU. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…
Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Ohio State
No games yet this season: this is its first.
BYU
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Ohio State | BYU | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 118.0 23rd | 120.2 11th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 101.8 81st | 100.7 70th |
| Possessions a game | 70.3 238th | 71.7 87th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.3% 200th | 55.5% 4th |
| Opponents' shooting | 51.7% 269th | 52.4% 306th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.2% 202nd | 16.7% 41st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.7% 121st | 31.4% 210th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.32 18th | 0.25 262nd |
The widest gap: BYU's offense (11th) against Ohio State's defense (81st), of 365 teams.
First half
Ohio State led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 2.6 points and the total by 4.8.
- At halftime
- Ohio State 37, BYU 34
- Projected halftime score
- Ohio State 33, BYU 33
- First-half margin
- Ohio State by 0.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 66.2
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Ohio State
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amare BynumF | 35 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| John Mobley Jr.G | 27 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| Justin PippenG | 25 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Anthony ThompsonF | 20 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Andrija JelavicF | 19 | 13 | 9 | 0 | 1 |
| Josh OjianwunaF | 19 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Curtis Givens IIIG | 18 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Jimmie WilliamsG | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| LJ SmithG | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
BYU
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Wright IIIG | 34 | 35 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| Collin ChandlerG | 32 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Tyler BetseyF | 31 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 4 |
| Bruce Branch IIIF | 27 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Jaxon KohlerF | 25 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| Jake WahlinF | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Brooks BahrF | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Khadim MboupF | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Nate PickensG | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |