N Colorado at BYU
Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 9:00 PM ET at Marriott Center. N Colorado our rank 204 · 2-1; BYU AP 23, our rank 33 · 4-0.
Who will win N Colorado vs BYU?
The model gives BYU a 98% chance to beat Northern Colorado, with a projected score of BYU 93, N Colorado 69.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BYU | |||||
| Wright IIIG · 29 min | 21.7 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 20+ 58% | |
| Branch IIIF · 25 min | 13.5 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 15+ 39% | |
| ChandlerG · 27 min | 12.7 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 15+ 35% | |
| KohlerF · 24 min | 12.7 | 7.7 | 1.8 | 15+ 35% | |
| N Colorado | |||||
| ReynoldsG · 26 min | 8.5 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 10+ 37% | |
| CrawfordF · 23 min | 7.4 | 4.8 | 0.9 | 5+ 68% | |
| ShareefF · 18 min | 7.3 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 5+ 67% | |
| CaldwellC · 19 min | 6.6 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 5+ 61% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Robert Wright III: N Colorado 4%BYU 96%
The white mark is the call with him: BYU 98%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | BYU without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BYU | ||||
| Robert Wright III | 4.4 | 96% | −2 | 71–91 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 4.1 | 96% | −2 | 71–91 |
| Collin Chandler | 3.4 | 97% | −1 | 70–92 |
| Jake Wahlin | 1.9 | 97% | −1 | 70–92 |
| N Colorado | ||||
| Langston Reynolds | 1.3 | 99% | +1 | 68–94 |
Change is in BYU's win chance, in points. Scores read N Colorado, then BYU. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
N Colorado 2-1WLW
- Nov 10W 102-52vs Northern New Mexico
- Nov 6L 63-90at Arizona StDidn't cover +19.5 · Over 143.5
- Nov 2W 117-64vs Colorado College
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 94.0 and allowing 68.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
BYU 4-0WWWW
- Nov 12W 86-71vs Montana StDidn't cover −21.5 · Under 162.5
- Nov 10W 98-82vs QueensDidn't cover −28.5 · Under 181.5
- Nov 6W 108-67vs OmahaCovered −32.5 · Over 162.5
- Nov 2W 94-83vs Ohio State
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 96.5 and allowing 75.8
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–2
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| N Colorado | BYU | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 104.9 163rd | 120.2 11th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 111.5 279th | 100.7 70th |
| Possessions a game | 71.3 121st | 71.7 87th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.0% 141st | 55.5% 4th |
| Opponents' shooting | 51.3% 245th | 52.4% 306th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.1% 188th | 16.7% 41st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.8% 239th | 31.4% 210th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 254th | 0.25 262nd |
The widest gap: BYU's offense (11th) against N Colorado's defense (279th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- N Colorado 31, BYU 45
- First-half margin
- BYU by 13.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 76.1
- Projected second half
- N Colorado 37, BYU 49
- Second-half points, both teams
- 86.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- N Colorado, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 42.0 scored, 28.7 allowed
- BYU, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 46.8 scored, 34.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
N Colorado
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langston ReynoldsG | 26 | 8.5 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 4+ reb 41% · 4+ ast 46% | |||||
| Andrew CrawfordF | 23 | 7.4 | 4.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 5+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Vincent DelanoG | 20 | 5.8 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 2+ reb 39% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Hunter CaldwellC | 19 | 6.6 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 3+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Kaidon RayfieldF | 19 | 5.7 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 4+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Manning ShareefF | 18 | 7.3 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 4+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Chiante' TrambleG | 16 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 37% · 2+ ast 40% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Steven Ramirez Jr.G | 15 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 2+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
BYU
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Wright IIIG | 29 | 21.7 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 1.6 |
| 20+ pts 58% · 3+ reb 44% · 5+ ast 51% | |||||
| Collin ChandlerG | 27 | 12.7 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| 15+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ threes 57% | |||||
| Bruce Branch IIIF | 25 | 13.5 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| 15+ pts 39% · 6+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 53% | |||||
| Jaxon KohlerF | 24 | 12.7 | 7.7 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| 15+ pts 35% · 8+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 51% | |||||
| Tyler BetseyF | 22 | 11.2 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 2.1 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 5+ reb 44% · 2+ threes 56% | |||||
| Jake WahlinF | 18 | 6.1 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 4+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Khadim MboupF | 15 | 3.1 | 5.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 26% · 5+ reb 55% | |||||
| Nate PickensG | 15 | 6.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 2+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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