James Madison at Towson
Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at SECU Arena. James Madison our rank 167 · 1-2; Towson our rank 124 · 2-2.
Who will win James Madison vs Towson?
The model gives Towson a 71% chance to beat James Madison, with a projected score of Towson 75, James Madison 68.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Towson | |||||
| RoseboroughG · 29 min | 14.4 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 15+ 45% | |
| WomackG · 28 min | 12.5 | 6.2 | 1.0 | 10+ 65% | |
| StanfordG · 28 min | 11.0 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 10+ 55% | |
| DoerrG · 27 min | 9.5 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 10+ 45% | |
| James Madison | |||||
| LeeG · 26 min | 12.1 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 10+ 63% | |
| MyersG · 28 min | 11.4 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 10+ 58% | |
| SundraF · 27 min | 8.5 | 5.6 | 0.8 | 10+ 37% | |
| WindhamG · 27 min | 8.0 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 10+ 33% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Zion Stanford: James Madison 33%Towson 67%
The white mark is the call with him: Towson 71%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Towson without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Towson | ||||
| Zion Stanford | 1.3 | 67% | −4 | 69–74 |
| Jaquan Womack | 1.3 | 67% | −4 | 69–74 |
| Caleb Embeya | 0.8 | 69% | −2 | 69–74 |
| Chike Ndefo | 0.8 | 69% | −2 | 69–74 |
| James Madison | ||||
| Brandon Lee | 1.6 | 76% | +5 | 68–76 |
| K.J. Windham | 1.0 | 74% | +3 | 68–75 |
| Adrian Myers | 0.9 | 74% | +3 | 68–75 |
| Garrett Sundra | 0.9 | 74% | +3 | 68–75 |
Change is in Towson's win chance, in points. Scores read James Madison, then Towson. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
James Madison 1-2LLW
- Nov 11W 71-61at DelawareCovered −3.5 · Under 150.5
- Nov 6L 80-89at KentuckyCovered +24.5 · Over 156.5
- Nov 2L 77-86vs Miami OH
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 76.0 and allowing 78.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Towson 2-2LLWW
- Nov 12W 90-60vs Loyola MDCovered −13.5 · Over 133.5
- Nov 9W 66-46vs Long IslandCovered −7.5 · Under 140.5
- Nov 5L 57-67at UtahDidn't cover +8.5 · Under 137.5
- Nov 2L 70-89at Santa Clara
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 70.8 and allowing 65.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| James Madison | Towson | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 105.4 153rd | 103.8 185th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 109.7 217th | 103.6 102nd |
| Possessions a game | 70.2 245th | 68.9 337th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.4% 192nd | 50.9% 150th |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.9% 209th | 49.1% 76th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 16.7% 47th | 18.6% 253rd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.5% 136th | 35.7% 14th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 251st | 0.23 311th |
The widest gap: Towson's defense (102nd) against James Madison's offense (153rd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- James Madison 32, Towson 35
- First-half margin
- Towson by 3.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 67.2
- Projected second half
- James Madison 37, Towson 39
- Second-half points, both teams
- 76.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- James Madison, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 38.3 scored, 33.3 allowed
- Towson, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 33.0 scored, 30.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
James Madison
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian MyersG | 28 | 11.4 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 58% · 5+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 53% | |||||
| Preston FowlerF | 28 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 5+ reb 54% · 2+ threes 39% | |||||
| K.J. WindhamG | 27 | 8.0 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Garrett SundraF | 27 | 8.5 | 5.6 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 6+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
| Brandon LeeG | 26 | 12.1 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Paul Jones IIIG | 20 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 2+ reb 53% · 2+ threes 44% | |||||
| Gage LattimoreG | 19 | 6.2 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 2+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Jacob HogarthF | 15 | 5.4 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 4+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 22% | |||||
Towson
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben RoseboroughG | 29 | 14.4 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 45% · 2+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 48% | |||||
| Zion StanfordG | 28 | 11.0 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 62% | |||||
| Jaquan WomackG | 28 | 12.5 | 6.2 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 65% · 6+ reb 55% · 2+ threes 34% | |||||
| Christian DoerrG | 27 | 9.5 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 4+ ast 44% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Caleb EmbeyaF | 20 | 4.9 | 5.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 6+ reb 44% | |||||
| Jon BartonG | 17 | 6.7 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 2+ reb 60% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| Chike NdefoG | 17 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 5+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 20% | |||||
| Alex AtkinsonF | 13 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 4+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 19% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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