Who will win Howard vs Duquesne?
The model gives Duquesne a 72% chance to beat Howard, with a projected score of Duquesne 76, Howard 69.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Duquesne | |||||
| BermanF · 33 min | 13.3 | 4.7 | 2.9 | 15+ 38% | |
| KonanF · 31 min | 10.7 | 6.4 | 2.5 | 10+ 53% | |
| SmithG · 18 min | 9.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 10+ 46% | |
| LawsonG · 27 min | 8.9 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 10+ 40% | |
 Howard | |||||
| Taylor IIIG · 34 min | 17.2 | 5.8 | 2.9 | 15+ 62% | |
| GillusG · 34 min | 12.5 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 10+ 65% | |
| HarrisF · 25 min | 9.3 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 10+ 43% | |
| BrownC · 27 min | 6.8 | 5.8 | 1.3 | 5+ 63% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Kerem Konan: Howard 34%Duquesne 66%
The white mark is the call with him: Duquesne 72%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Duquesne without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duquesne | ||||
| Kerem Konan | 1.8 | 66% | −6 | 70–75 |
| Yoav Berman | 1.5 | 67% | −5 | 70–75 |
| Ege Demir | 1.1 | 68% | −4 | 70–75 |
| Izaiah Pasha | 1.1 | 68% | −4 | 70–75 |
| Howard | ||||
| Cedric Taylor III | 1.1 | 75% | +3 | 69–76 |
| James Brown | 0.8 | 74% | +2 | 69–76 |
| Cam Gillus | 0.5 | 73% | +1 | 69–76 |
Change is in Duquesne's win chance, in points. Scores read Howard, then Duquesne. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Howard 2-2LWLW
- Nov 12W 75-62vs StetsonCovered −9.5 · Under 148.5
- Nov 9L 65-78at PennDidn't cover +5.5 · Under 155.5
- Nov 5W 94-83at Alcorn StCovered −9.5 · Over 149.5
- Nov 2L 62-72at Yale
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 74.0 and allowing 73.8
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 2 under
Duquesne 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 72-71vs Washington StDidn't cover −3.5 · Under 145.5
- Nov 7W 68-58vs Central State
- Nov 3W 78-71vs Purdue FW
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 72.7 and allowing 66.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Howard | Duquesne | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 100.2 267th | 105.8 145th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 107.1 154th | 104.3 106th |
| Possessions a game | 71.4 111th | 70.4 222nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.5% 106th | 50.2% 206th |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.3% 98th | 52.6% 313th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.7% 258th | 19.4% 314th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.1% 100th | 32.6% 128th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 302nd | 0.28 97th |
The widest gap: Duquesne's defense (106th) against Howard's offense (267th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Howard 32, Duquesne 36
- First-half margin
- Duquesne by 3.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 68.2
- Projected second half
- Howard 37, Duquesne 40
- Second-half points, both teams
- 77.2
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Howard, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 36.5 scored, 33.5 allowed
- Duquesne, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 32.3 scored, 35.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Howard
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam GillusG | 34 | 12.5 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 65% · 4+ reb 58% · 4+ ast 52% | |||||
| Cedric Taylor IIIG | 34 | 17.2 | 5.8 | 2.9 | 1.4 |
| 15+ pts 62% · 6+ reb 49% · 3+ ast 53% | |||||
| James BrownC | 27 | 6.8 | 5.8 | 1.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 6+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 35% | |||||
| Alex CottonG | 25 | 6.4 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 2+ reb 59% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Drew HarrisF | 25 | 9.3 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 4+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Josiah LawsonF | 18 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Gasper KocevarC | 16 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 59% · 2+ ast 21% | |||||
Duquesne
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yoav BermanF | 33 | 13.3 | 4.7 | 2.9 | 1.4 |
| 15+ pts 38% · 5+ reb 48% · 3+ ast 54% | |||||
| Kerem KonanF | 31 | 10.7 | 6.4 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 7+ reb 45% · 3+ ast 44% | |||||
| Arness LawsonG | 27 | 8.9 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 42% | |||||
| Izaiah PashaG | 23 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 2+ ast 47% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Ege DemirC | 20 | 5.2 | 5.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 6+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 17% | |||||
| Josh SmithG | 18 | 9.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 2+ reb 39% · 1+ threes 65% | |||||
| Jake DiMicheleG | 17 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 2+ reb 34% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Stephen OlowoniyiF | 14 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 3+ reb 42% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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