Binghamton at Duquesne
Saturday, November 14, 2026, 7:30 PM ET at UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse. Binghamton our rank 337 · 3-1; Duquesne our rank 117 · 3-0.
Who will win Binghamton vs Duquesne?
The model gives Duquesne a 94% chance to beat Binghamton, with a projected score of Duquesne 81, Binghamton 64.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duquesne | |||||
| BermanF · 32 min | 13.4 | 4.7 | 3.1 | 15+ 39% | |
| KonanF · 30 min | 10.8 | 6.5 | 2.7 | 10+ 54% | |
| SmithG · 18 min | 10.3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 10+ 51% | |
| LawsonG · 26 min | 9.1 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 10+ 41% | |
| Binghamton | |||||
| QuigleyG · 32 min | 14.7 | 3.3 | 5.0 | 15+ 47% | |
| LilleyC · 32 min | 11.0 | 11.4 | 1.0 | 10+ 55% | |
| GodfreyF · 27 min | 9.0 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 10+ 41% | |
| BlackburnG · 20 min | 5.7 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 5+ 53% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Kerem Konan: Binghamton 8%Duquesne 92%
The white mark is the call with him: Duquesne 94%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Duquesne without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duquesne | ||||
| Kerem Konan | 1.8 | 92% | −2 | 64–80 |
| Yoav Berman | 1.5 | 92% | −2 | 64–80 |
| Ege Demir | 1.1 | 93% | −1 | 64–81 |
| Izaiah Pasha | 1.1 | 93% | −1 | 64–81 |
Change is in Duquesne's win chance, in points. Scores read Binghamton, then Duquesne. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Binghamton 3-1LWWW
- Nov 11W 87-62at Misericordia
- Nov 8W 75-63vs RiderCovered −7.5 · Under 138.5
- Nov 5W 58-55at Saint Peter'sCovered +7.5 · Under 136.5
- Nov 2L 60-86at Northwestern
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 70.0 and allowing 66.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
Duquesne 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 72-71vs Washington StDidn't cover −3.5 · Under 145.5
- Nov 7W 68-58vs Central State
- Nov 3W 78-71vs Purdue FW
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 72.7 and allowing 66.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Binghamton | Duquesne | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 98.7 292nd | 105.8 145th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 116.0 347th | 104.3 106th |
| Possessions a game | 68.7 348th | 70.4 222nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.2% 278th | 50.2% 206th |
| Opponents' shooting | 51.6% 266th | 52.6% 313th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.2% 83rd | 19.4% 314th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.5% 135th | 32.6% 128th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 120th | 0.28 97th |
The widest gap: Duquesne's offense (145th) against Binghamton's defense (347th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Binghamton 29, Duquesne 39
- First-half margin
- Duquesne by 9.7
- First-half points, both teams
- 67.9
- Projected second half
- Binghamton 34, Duquesne 42
- Second-half points, both teams
- 76.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Binghamton, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 35.0 scored, 36.0 allowed
- Duquesne, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 32.3 scored, 35.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Binghamton
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah QuigleyG | 32 | 14.7 | 3.3 | 5.0 | 0.8 |
| 15+ pts 47% · 5+ ast 55% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Demetrius LilleyC | 32 | 11.0 | 11.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 12+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 28% | |||||
| Jayden KelseyG | 27 | 5.3 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Dylan GodfreyF | 27 | 9.0 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 36% | |||||
| Jake BlackburnG | 20 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 2+ reb 32% · 2+ threes 38% | |||||
| Jayden LemondG | 19 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 41% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Bobby Montgomery Jr.G | 17 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 53% to play · 5+ pts 47% · 2+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 37% | |||||
| Kofi PeytonG | 15 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 2+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
Missed the last game: Bobby Montgomery Jr. (19 min a game).
Duquesne
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yoav BermanF | 32 | 13.4 | 4.7 | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| 15+ pts 39% · 5+ reb 48% · 3+ ast 57% | |||||
| Kerem KonanF | 30 | 10.8 | 6.5 | 2.7 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 7+ reb 46% · 3+ ast 48% | |||||
| Arness LawsonG | 26 | 9.1 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 4+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| Izaiah PashaG | 22 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 2+ ast 51% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Ege DemirC | 20 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 6+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 20% | |||||
| Josh SmithG | 18 | 10.3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 2+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 35% | |||||
| Jake DiMicheleG | 17 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 2+ reb 36% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Stephen OlowoniyiF | 15 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 46% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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