Binghamton at Lafayette
Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Kirby Sports Center. Binghamton our rank 337 · 3-1; Lafayette our rank 307 · 2-2.
Who will win Binghamton vs Lafayette?
The model gives Lafayette a 68% chance to beat Binghamton, with a projected score of Lafayette 73, Binghamton 68.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.8% of the time in 15,721 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lafayette | |||||
| KeslerG · 27 min | 13.2 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 15+ 38% | |
| CurrieG · 24 min | 10.7 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 10+ 53% | |
| JacksonF · 20 min | 9.4 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 10+ 44% | |
| GillF · 21 min | 8.1 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 10+ 34% | |
| Binghamton | |||||
| QuigleyG · 34 min | 16.3 | 3.6 | 5.9 | 15+ 56% | |
| LilleyC · 34 min | 12.1 | 12.6 | 1.2 | 10+ 63% | |
| GodfreyF · 28 min | 9.8 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 10+ 47% | |
| BlackburnG · 20 min | 6.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 5+ 56% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Binghamton 3-1LWWW
- Nov 11W 87-62at Misericordia
- Nov 8W 75-63vs RiderCovered −7.5 · Under 138.5
- Nov 5W 58-55at Saint Peter'sCovered +7.5 · Under 136.5
- Nov 2L 60-86at Northwestern
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 70.0 and allowing 66.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
Lafayette 2-2LWLW
- Nov 10W 89-46vs Penn State Lehigh Valley
- Nov 7L 57-67at Saint Joseph'sCovered +16.5 · Under 147.5
- Nov 5W 104-67vs King's
- Nov 2L 60-96at Butler
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 77.5 and allowing 69.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Binghamton | Lafayette | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 98.7 292nd | 94.1 344th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 116.0 347th | 108.3 181st |
| Possessions a game | 68.7 348th | 70.9 171st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.2% 278th | 48.8% 302nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 51.6% 266th | 48.8% 58th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.2% 83rd | 20.1% 343rd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.5% 135th | 29.3% 314th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 120th | 0.24 298th |
The widest gap: Lafayette's defense (181st) against Binghamton's offense (292nd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Binghamton 31, Lafayette 34
- First-half margin
- Lafayette by 2.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 65.9
- Projected second half
- Binghamton 36, Lafayette 38
- Second-half points, both teams
- 74.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Binghamton, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 35.0 scored, 36.0 allowed
- Lafayette, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 41.8 scored, 33.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Binghamton
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah QuigleyG | 34 | 16.3 | 3.6 | 5.9 | 0.9 |
| 15+ pts 56% · 4+ reb 47% · 6+ ast 52% | |||||
| Demetrius LilleyC | 34 | 12.1 | 12.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 13+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 33% | |||||
| Jayden KelseyG | 28 | 5.8 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 3+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Dylan GodfreyF | 28 | 9.8 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 47% · 3+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 38% | |||||
| Jake BlackburnG | 20 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 2+ reb 34% · 2+ threes 40% | |||||
| Jayden LemondG | 19 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 2+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 55% | |||||
| Bobby Montgomery Jr.G | 17 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 53% to play · 5+ pts 50% · 2+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Kofi PeytonG | 15 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 2+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
Missed the last game: Bobby Montgomery Jr. (19 min a game).
Lafayette
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper KeslerG | 27 | 13.2 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 48% | |||||
| Beckett CurrieG | 24 | 10.7 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 2+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 51% | |||||
| Jasraj GillF | 21 | 8.1 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 6+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 54% | |||||
| Owen KellyG | 20 | 6.8 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Shareef JacksonF | 20 | 9.4 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Misha BednostinC | 12 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 20% · 3+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 28% | |||||
| Shelton HentonG | 12 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 20% · 2+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| KaiMani MurdockF | 12 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 22% · 2+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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