Binghamton 60, Northwestern 86
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Welsh-Ryan Arena. Binghamton our rank 337 · 3-1; Northwestern our rank 69 · 3-0.
Who won Binghamton vs Northwestern?
Final: Northwestern 86, Binghamton 60. Before tip-off the model gave Northwestern a 99% chance to win, with a projected margin of 29.2 points for Northwestern. Jack Karasinski scored 24 for Northwestern; Demetrius Lilley had 11 for Binghamton.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Angelo Ciaravino: Binghamton 2%Northwestern 98%
The white mark is the call with him: Northwestern 99%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Northwestern without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern | ||||
| Angelo Ciaravino | 3.2 | 98% | −1 | 53–79 |
| Jake West | 2.7 | 98% | −1 | 53–79 |
| Okku Federiko | 1.9 | 99% | 0 | 52–80 |
| LA Pratt | 1.4 | 99% | 0 | 52–80 |
Change is in Northwestern's win chance, in points. Scores read Binghamton, then Northwestern. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Binghamton
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Northwestern
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Binghamton | Northwestern | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 98.7 292nd | 112.9 68th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 116.0 347th | 101.2 73rd |
| Possessions a game | 68.7 348th | 68.8 344th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.2% 278th | 51.8% 92nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 51.6% 266th | 50.4% 182nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.2% 83rd | 16.6% 38th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.5% 135th | 30.8% 251st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 120th | 0.26 191st |
The widest gap: Northwestern's offense (68th) against Binghamton's defense (347th), of 365 teams.
First half
Northwestern led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 0.0 points and the total by 24.1.
- At halftime
- Binghamton 35, Northwestern 51
- Projected halftime score
- Binghamton 23, Northwestern 39
- First-half margin
- Northwestern by 16.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 61.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Binghamton
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demetrius LilleyC | 31 | 11 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| Dylan GodfreyF | 26 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jake BlackburnG | 26 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Jeremiah QuigleyG | 22 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Jayden KelseyG | 20 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Bobby Montgomery Jr.G | 19 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Evan AsheG | 19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Jayden LemondG | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Stephan SnaggF | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Northwestern
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake WestG | 32 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 2 |
| LA PrattG | 32 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Angelo CiaravinoG | 31 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| Jack KarasinskiF | 28 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| Okku FederikoF | 23 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Colin SmithF | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Phoenix GillG | 12 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Aleksej KosticG | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Symon GhaiC | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |