Who won Lafayette vs Butler?
Final: Butler 96, Lafayette 60. Before tip-off the model gave Butler a 95% chance to win, with a projected margin of 20.1 points for Butler. Asim Djulovic scored 19 for Butler; Shareef Jackson had 14 for Lafayette.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Eduardo Klafke: Lafayette 8%Butler 92%
The white mark is the call with him: Butler 95%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Butler without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Butler | ||||
| Eduardo Klafke | 2.5 | 92% | −3 | 59–77 |
| Treyson Anderson | 2.4 | 93% | −2 | 59–77 |
| Drayton Jones | 2.2 | 93% | −2 | 59–77 |
| Jalen Jackson | 2.0 | 93% | −2 | 59–77 |
Change is in Butler's win chance, in points. Scores read Lafayette, then Butler. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Lafayette
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Butler
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Lafayette | Butler | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 94.1 344th | 111.8 76th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 108.3 181st | 101.9 82nd |
| Possessions a game | 70.9 171st | 72.6 33rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.8% 302nd | 52.9% 43rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.8% 58th | 50.0% 146th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 20.1% 343rd | 18.8% 270th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.3% 314th | 35.0% 21st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 298th | 0.23 323rd |
The widest gap: Butler's defense (82nd) against Lafayette's offense (344th), of 365 teams.
First half
Butler led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 9.0 points and the total by 23.9.
- At halftime
- Lafayette 34, Butler 54
- Projected halftime score
- Lafayette 27, Butler 38
- First-half margin
- Butler by 11.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Lafayette
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper KeslerG | 32 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Beckett CurrieG | 28 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jasraj GillF | 23 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| Owen KellyG | 22 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Shelton HentonG | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shareef JacksonF | 19 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Misha BednostinC | 16 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| KaiMani MurdockF | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Patrick D'ArcyG | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Butler
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen JacksonG | 27 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| Eduardo KlafkeG | 26 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 1 |
| Samis CalderonF | 25 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Drayton JonesC | 24 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Asim DjulovicF | 22 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Jordan EllerbeeG | 20 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Treyson AndersonF | 18 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 |
| Samu AdlerG | 15 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Baron WalkerG | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |