Washington at Utah
Saturday, November 14, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Jon M. Huntsman Center. Washington our rank 99 · 2-0; Utah our rank 80 · 3-0.
Who will win Washington vs Utah?
The model gives Utah a 71% chance to beat Washington, with a projected score of Utah 77, Washington 70.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah | |||||
| CampbellG · 35 min | 13.8 | 4.0 | 5.8 | 15+ 41% | |
| HolcombeG · 29 min | 13.6 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 15+ 40% | |
| AnigbataF · 30 min | 13.4 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 15+ 39% | |
| BurchG · 23 min | 7.8 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 10+ 32% | |
| Washington | |||||
| WattsG · 29 min | 11.6 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 10+ 59% | |
| BeasleyG · 33 min | 11.3 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 10+ 57% | |
| Yates IIIG · 26 min | 8.5 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 10+ 37% | |
| DzepinaF · 23 min | 8.5 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 10+ 37% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Jackson Holcombe: Washington 39%Utah 61%
The white mark is the call with him: Utah 71%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Utah without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah | ||||
| Jackson Holcombe | 3.4 | 61% | −10 | 72–75 |
| Trey Campbell | 3.2 | 61% | −10 | 72–75 |
| TJ Burch | 2.0 | 65% | −6 | 71–76 |
| Taison Chatman | 1.6 | 66% | −5 | 71–76 |
| Washington | ||||
| LeJuan Watts | 2.7 | 79% | +8 | 69–78 |
| Ryan Beasley | 1.6 | 76% | +5 | 70–78 |
| Wesley Yates III | 1.5 | 76% | +5 | 70–78 |
| Tayshawn Comer | 1.4 | 75% | +4 | 70–77 |
Change is in Utah's win chance, in points. Scores read Washington, then Utah. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Washington 2-0WW
- Nov 9W 77-64vs Miss Valley StDidn't cover −31.5 · Under 153.5
- Nov 2W 90-76vs Colgate
- Last 2
- 2–0, scoring 83.5 and allowing 70.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Washington | Utah | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 110.6 87th | 109.9 91st |
| Points allowed per 100 | 104.8 112th | 100.3 66th |
| Possessions a game | 70.5 215th | 69.4 315th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.4% 196th | 51.3% 125th |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.8% 202nd | 51.7% 267th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.2% 202nd | 20.4% 349th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.6% 126th | 31.1% 225th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 132nd | 0.26 203rd |
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Washington 33, Utah 36
- First-half margin
- Utah by 3.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 69.1
- Projected second half
- Washington 38, Utah 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 78.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Washington, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 2 · 44.0 scored, 35.5 allowed
- Utah, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 28.3 scored, 32.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Washington
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan BeasleyG | 33 | 11.3 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 2.0 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 4+ ast 47% · 2+ threes 55% | |||||
| LeJuan WattsG | 29 | 11.6 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 59% · 6+ reb 45% · 3+ ast 44% | |||||
| Wesley Yates IIIG | 26 | 8.5 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 2+ reb 60% · 2+ threes 52% | |||||
| Tayshawn ComerG | 23 | 7.6 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 3+ ast 44% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Nikola DzepinaF | 23 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 4+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Steele VentersG | 19 | 6.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 2.0 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 2+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 54% | |||||
| Lathan SommervilleC | 18 | 5.8 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 3+ reb 59% | |||||
| Parker FriedrichsenG | 18 | 7.8 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 2+ reb 43% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
Utah
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey CampbellG | 35 | 13.8 | 4.0 | 5.8 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 41% · 6+ ast 51% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Alec AnigbataF | 30 | 13.4 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 39% · 5+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 47% | |||||
| Jackson HolcombeG | 29 | 13.6 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| 15+ pts 40% · 6+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Malek GommaC | 26 | 6.0 | 6.4 | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 7+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 34% | |||||
| TJ BurchG | 23 | 7.8 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 45% · 3+ ast 46% | |||||
| Taison ChatmanG | 20 | 7.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 2+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Jaxon JohnsonF | 17 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 4+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Babacar FayeF | 12 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 3+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 18% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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