Long Beach St 63, Utah 66
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 9:00 PM ET at Jon M. Huntsman Center. Long Beach St our rank 237 · 1-2; Utah our rank 80 · 3-0.
Who won Long Beach St vs Utah?
Final: Utah 66, Long Beach State 63. Before tip-off the model gave Utah a 96% chance to win, with a projected margin of 22.1 points for Utah. Trey Campbell scored 20 for Utah; McCaden Adams had 21 for Long Beach St.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Jackson Holcombe: Long Beach St 6%Utah 94%
The white mark is the call with him: Utah 96%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Utah without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah | ||||
| Jackson Holcombe | 3.4 | 94% | −2 | 59–78 |
| Trey Campbell | 3.2 | 94% | −2 | 59–78 |
| TJ Burch | 2.0 | 95% | −1 | 59–79 |
| Taison Chatman | 1.6 | 95% | −1 | 58–79 |
| Long Beach St | ||||
| Noah Amenhauser | 0.9 | 97% | +1 | 57–80 |
Change is in Utah's win chance, in points. Scores read Long Beach St, then Utah. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Long Beach St
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Utah
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Long Beach St | Utah | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 100.2 266th | 109.9 91st |
| Points allowed per 100 | 109.2 200th | 100.3 66th |
| Possessions a game | 71.0 157th | 69.4 315th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.1% 213th | 51.3% 125th |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.7% 198th | 51.7% 267th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 16.8% 49th | 20.4% 349th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 26.4% 363rd | 31.1% 225th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.30 29th | 0.26 203rd |
The widest gap: Utah's defense (66th) against Long Beach St's offense (266th), of 365 teams.
First half
Long Beach St led at the half, against the projection. The margin was off by 24.1 points and the total by 3.7.
- At halftime
- Long Beach St 40, Utah 28
- Projected halftime score
- Long Beach St 26, Utah 38
- First-half margin
- Utah by 12.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Long Beach St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ GrayG | 33 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| McCaden AdamsG | 33 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Yohann SissokoG | 32 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Max VanlaninghamF | 31 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Jack PayneG | 27 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Jaden TenganG | 15 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Brett WrightF | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Christian JonesG | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Henry LauF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Utah
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey CampbellG | 37 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| Alec AnigbataF | 33 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Jackson HolcombeG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Malek GommaC | 30 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| TJ BurchG | 27 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Taison ChatmanG | 13 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Zati LoubakiF | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jaxon JohnsonF | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Lucas LangaritaG | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |