E Washington at Utah
Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 8:30 PM ET at Jon M. Huntsman Center. E Washington our rank 152 · 0-3; Utah our rank 80 · 3-0.
Who will win E Washington vs Utah?
The model gives Utah a 88% chance to beat Eastern Washington, with a projected score of Utah 82, E Washington 69.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 84.9% of the time in 12,246 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah | |||||
| CampbellG · 34 min | 14.1 | 4.1 | 6.2 | 15+ 44% | |
| HolcombeG · 28 min | 14.1 | 5.8 | 2.6 | 15+ 43% | |
| AnigbataF · 30 min | 13.8 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 15+ 42% | |
| BurchG · 22 min | 8.2 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 10+ 35% | |
| E Washington | |||||
| Hamilton IVF · 27 min | 11.9 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 10+ 61% | |
| MillerF · 28 min | 9.5 | 5.1 | 0.7 | 10+ 45% | |
| MarquardtF · 25 min | 9.0 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 10+ 41% | |
| GriffithG · 18 min | 7.7 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 10+ 31% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Jackson Holcombe: E Washington 20%Utah 80%
The white mark is the call with him: Utah 88%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Utah without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah | ||||
| Jackson Holcombe | 3.4 | 80% | −8 | 71–80 |
| Trey Campbell | 3.2 | 81% | −7 | 71–80 |
| TJ Burch | 2.0 | 84% | −4 | 70–81 |
| Taison Chatman | 1.6 | 85% | −3 | 70–81 |
| E Washington | ||||
| Alton Hamilton IV | 1.6 | 90% | +2 | 68–83 |
| Jamil Miller | 0.8 | 89% | +1 | 69–82 |
| Jalen Griffith | 0.7 | 89% | +1 | 69–82 |
| Emmett Marquardt | 0.6 | 89% | +1 | 69–82 |
Change is in Utah's win chance, in points. Scores read E Washington, then Utah. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| E Washington | Utah | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 108.0 112th | 109.9 91st |
| Points allowed per 100 | 110.8 252nd | 100.3 66th |
| Possessions a game | 71.2 133rd | 69.4 315th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.0% 146th | 51.3% 125th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.6% 317th | 51.7% 267th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.4% 102nd | 20.4% 349th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 34.0% 62nd | 31.1% 225th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.26 178th | 0.26 203rd |
The widest gap: Utah's offense (91st) against E Washington's defense (252nd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- E Washington 32, Utah 39
- First-half margin
- Utah by 7.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 70.8
- Projected second half
- E Washington 37, Utah 43
- Second-half points, both teams
- 80.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- E Washington, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 35.3 scored, 45.3 allowed
- Utah, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 28.3 scored, 32.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
E Washington
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamil MillerF | 28 | 9.5 | 5.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 5+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Alton Hamilton IVF | 27 | 11.9 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 61% · 6+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Emmett MarquardtF | 25 | 9.0 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 4+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
| Tavi JacksonG | 22 | 7.3 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 3+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Cole SchererG | 21 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 2+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 44% | |||||
| Jalen GriffithG | 18 | 7.7 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Malachi RichmondG | 17 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 2+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Isak HomeliusG | 16 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 2+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
Utah
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey CampbellG | 34 | 14.1 | 4.1 | 6.2 | 1.9 |
| 15+ pts 44% · 4+ reb 54% · 2+ threes 51% | |||||
| Alec AnigbataF | 30 | 13.8 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 42% · 5+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Jackson HolcombeG | 28 | 14.1 | 5.8 | 2.6 | 0.7 |
| 15+ pts 43% · 6+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Malek GommaC | 25 | 6.3 | 6.6 | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 7+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 36% | |||||
| TJ BurchG | 22 | 8.2 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 47% · 3+ ast 51% | |||||
| Taison ChatmanG | 20 | 8.2 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Jaxon JohnsonF | 17 | 5.5 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 5+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Babacar FayeF | 12 | 6.0 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 19% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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