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E Washington 65, Stanford 74

Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 10:00 PM ET at Maples Pavilion. E Washington our rank 152 · 0-3; Stanford our rank 78 · 3-0.

Who won E Washington vs Stanford?

Final: Stanford 74, Eastern Washington 65. Before tip-off the model gave Stanford a 88% chance to win, with a projected margin of 14.3 points for Stanford. Julius Price scored 17 for Stanford; Alton Hamilton IV had 20 for E Washington.

Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.

The call

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.
To winStanford 88%E Washington 12%
Projected score62–76E Washington, then Stanford
Margin14.3Stanford · no line posted
Total138.6no line posted
First half29–36Stanford ahead 77%
E Washington by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30Stanford by 40Model: Stanford by 14.3E Washington by 20Evenby 20Stanford by 40Model: Stanford by 14.3

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 80–90% have been right 84.9% of the time in 12,246 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit him

Without Nick Townsend: E Washington 21%Stanford 79%

The white mark is the call with him: Stanford 88%.

PlayerPoints a game he addsStanford without himChangeProjected score
Stanford
Nick Townsend4.479%−964–74
Aidan Cammann2.084%−463–75
Austin Maurer1.785%−363–76
Christian Bliss1.785%−363–76
E Washington
Alton Hamilton IV1.690%+261–77
Jamil Miller0.889%+162–77
Jalen Griffith0.789%+162–77
Emmett Marquardt0.689%+162–77

Change is in Stanford's win chance, in points. Scores read E Washington, then Stanford. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    E Washington

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    Stanford

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 365
    E WashingtonStanford
    Points scored per 100 possessions108.0 112th111.0 84th
    Points allowed per 100110.8 252nd101.3 74th
    Possessions a game71.2 133rd70.4 222nd
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)51.0% 146th50.7% 168th
    Opponents' shooting52.6% 317th50.7% 195th
    Turnovers, share of possessions17.4% 102nd18.3% 209th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses34.0% 62nd29.5% 307th
    Free throws per shot0.26 178th0.26 212th

    The widest gap: Stanford's offense (84th) against E Washington's defense (252nd), of 365 teams.

    First half

    Projected before tip-off

    Ahead at halftime

    Stanford led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 3.8 points and the total by 1.0.

    At halftime
    E Washington 30, Stanford 34
    Projected halftime score
    E Washington 29, Stanford 36
    First-half margin
    Stanford by 7.8
    First-half points, both teams
    65.0
    Tied at the half
    4%

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Box score

    Each team's players, most minutes first

    E Washington

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Alton Hamilton IVF3520910
    Cole SchererG3111221
    Jamil MillerF299600
    Emmett MarquardtF272400
    Jalen GriffithG239430
    Isak HomeliusG157002
    Malachi RichmondG125001
    Shaumba NgoyiF90210
    Lance Horntvedt Jr.F80000

    Stanford

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Nick TownsendF3612650
    Julius PriceG3417241
    Aziz OlajuwonG3012402
    Isaiah RogersG2810442
    Aidan CammannF2713400
    Christian BlissG164010
    Anthony Batson Jr.G122000
    Donavin YoungF114310
    Austin MaurerC60000

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