E Washington at UNLV
Monday, November 23, 2026, 10:00 PM ET at Thomas & Mack Center. E Washington our rank 152 · 0-3; UNLV our rank 110 · 2-0.
Who will win E Washington vs UNLV?
The model gives UNLV a 78% chance to beat Eastern Washington, with a projected score of UNLV 85, E Washington 76.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV | |||||
| MackG · 32 min | 17.2 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 15+ 62% | |
| JonesF · 33 min | 14.8 | 6.4 | 1.5 | 15+ 48% | |
| MilesG · 34 min | 14.6 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 15+ 46% | |
| WilliamsG · 27 min | 12.7 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 15+ 35% | |
| E Washington | |||||
| Hamilton IVF · 27 min | 13.0 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 15+ 37% | |
| MillerF · 28 min | 10.4 | 5.5 | 0.8 | 10+ 51% | |
| MarquardtF · 25 min | 9.8 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 10+ 47% | |
| GriffithG · 18 min | 8.4 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 10+ 36% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Tyrin Jones: E Washington 31%UNLV 69%
The white mark is the call with him: UNLV 78%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | UNLV without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV | ||||
| Tyrin Jones | 3.2 | 69% | −9 | 77–83 |
| Sebastian Mack | 1.6 | 74% | −4 | 77–84 |
| Cam Miles | 1.5 | 74% | −4 | 77–84 |
| Jeremy Foumena | 1.1 | 75% | −3 | 76–84 |
| E Washington | ||||
| Alton Hamilton IV | 1.6 | 82% | +4 | 75–85 |
| Jamil Miller | 0.8 | 80% | +2 | 75–85 |
| Jalen Griffith | 0.7 | 80% | +2 | 75–85 |
| Emmett Marquardt | 0.6 | 80% | +2 | 76–85 |
Change is in UNLV's win chance, in points. Scores read E Washington, then UNLV. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| E Washington | UNLV | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 108.0 112th | 109.8 92nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 110.8 252nd | 105.8 127th |
| Possessions a game | 71.2 133rd | 72.0 63rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.0% 146th | 50.3% 199th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.6% 317th | 53.4% 340th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.4% 102nd | 18.3% 208th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 34.0% 62nd | 33.8% 70th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.26 178th | 0.30 34th |
The widest gap: UNLV's offense (92nd) against E Washington's defense (252nd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- E Washington 35, UNLV 40
- First-half margin
- UNLV by 4.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 75.3
- Projected second half
- E Washington 41, UNLV 45
- Second-half points, both teams
- 85.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- E Washington, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 35.3 scored, 45.3 allowed
- UNLV, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 2 · 44.0 scored, 43.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
E Washington
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamil MillerF | 28 | 10.4 | 5.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 6+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Alton Hamilton IVF | 27 | 13.0 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 15+ pts 37% · 6+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 48% | |||||
| Emmett MarquardtF | 25 | 9.8 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 47% · 5+ reb 43% · 2+ threes 34% | |||||
| Tavi JacksonG | 22 | 7.9 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Cole SchererG | 21 | 6.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 2+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Jalen GriffithG | 18 | 8.4 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 2+ reb 48% · 3+ ast 47% | |||||
| Malachi RichmondG | 17 | 7.0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 2+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| Isak HomeliusG | 16 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
UNLV
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam MilesG | 34 | 14.6 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
| 15+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 58% | |||||
| Tyrin JonesF | 33 | 14.8 | 6.4 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| 15+ pts 48% · 7+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Sebastian MackG | 32 | 17.2 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| 15+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 47% | |||||
| Dontrez WilliamsG | 27 | 12.7 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 15+ pts 35% · 4+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 47% | |||||
| Jackson KissF | 18 | 6.4 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 4+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 28% | |||||
| Jeremy FoumenaC | 18 | 6.8 | 4.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 5+ reb 51% | |||||
| Issac WilliamsonG | 16 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 2+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Kota Suttle Jr.G | 14 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 2+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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