Who will win Ole Miss vs Clemson?
The model gives Ole Miss a 73% chance to beat Clemson, with a projected score of Ole Miss 77, Clemson 71.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ole Miss | |||||
| ClarkG · 27 min | 14.6 | 2.8 | 4.5 | 15+ 46% | |
| StephensonG · 22 min | 11.9 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 10+ 61% | |
| PinkinsG · 27 min | 11.1 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 10+ 56% | |
| TrouetF · 20 min | 8.5 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 10+ 37% | |
 Clemson | |||||
| BucknerG · 32 min | 15.3 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 15+ 51% | |
| FaulknerF · 31 min | 13.8 | 7.7 | 2.8 | 15+ 42% | |
| LeleviciusF · 31 min | 12.8 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 15+ 36% | |
| CertaG · 30 min | 10.5 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 10+ 52% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Adam Clark: Ole Miss 60%Clemson 40%
The white mark is the call with him: Ole Miss 73%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Ole Miss without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss | ||||
| Adam Clark | 3.8 | 60% | −13 | 76–73 |
| Patton Pinkins | 3.1 | 63% | −10 | 76–72 |
| Ilias Kamardine | 3.0 | 63% | −10 | 76–72 |
| Santiago Trouet | 2.7 | 64% | −9 | 76–72 |
| Clemson | ||||
| Dylan Faulkner | 3.5 | 82% | +9 | 79–69 |
| Ace Buckner | 3.1 | 81% | +8 | 79–69 |
| Liutauras Lelevicius | 2.4 | 79% | +6 | 79–70 |
| Chase Thompson | 1.9 | 78% | +5 | 78–70 |
Change is in Ole Miss's win chance, in points. Scores read Ole Miss, then Clemson. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Ole Miss 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 91-51vs SE LouisianaCovered −26.5 · Under 146.5
- Nov 6W 92-60vs C ArkansasCovered −17.5 · Under 154.5
- Nov 2W 99-58vs Alcorn St
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 94.0 and allowing 56.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Ole Miss | Clemson | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 115.8 44th | 115.3 50th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 93.6 15th | 102.0 84th |
| Possessions a game | 71.1 143rd | 69.0 333rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 52.6% 57th | 53.1% 35th |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.4% 104th | 54.2% 352nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 16.4% 25th | 18.0% 172nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.5% 198th | 30.9% 236th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 288th | 0.32 11th |
The widest gap: Ole Miss's offense (44th) against Clemson's defense (84th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Ole Miss 37, Clemson 33
- First-half margin
- Ole Miss by 3.7
- First-half points, both teams
- 69.5
- Projected second half
- Ole Miss 41, Clemson 38
- Second-half points, both teams
- 78.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Ole Miss, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 49.3 scored, 25.0 allowed
- Clemson, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 42.0 scored, 33.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Ole Miss
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam ClarkG | 27 | 14.6 | 2.8 | 4.5 | 0.7 |
| 15+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Patton PinkinsG | 27 | 11.1 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 2+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 44% | |||||
| Ilias KamardineG | 26 | 7.6 | 2.3 | 3.8 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 2+ reb 61% · 4+ ast 51% | |||||
| Corey StephensonG | 22 | 11.9 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 61% · 5+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Santiago TrouetF | 20 | 8.5 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 5+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 33% | |||||
| Roman SiulepaF | 19 | 6.1 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 4+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Ben HenshallG | 19 | 7.0 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Christian BrownF | 11 | 5.1 | 2.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 50% | |||||
Clemson
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace BucknerG | 32 | 15.3 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 1.6 |
| 15+ pts 51% · 3+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 44% | |||||
| Liutauras LeleviciusF | 31 | 12.8 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| 15+ pts 36% · 6+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 42% | |||||
| Dylan FaulknerF | 31 | 13.8 | 7.7 | 2.8 | 0.0 |
| 15+ pts 42% · 8+ reb 48% · 3+ ast 51% | |||||
| Cole CertaG | 30 | 10.5 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 2+ ast 51% · 2+ threes 54% | |||||
| Chase ThompsonF | 27 | 8.4 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 3+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Dallas ThomasF | 20 | 5.6 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 3+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| David FuchsF | 16 | 7.6 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 4+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 26% | |||||
| Harris ReynoldsG | 12 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 23% · 2+ reb 36% · 1+ threes 25% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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