Georgetown at Clemson
Friday, November 13, 2026, 6:00 PM ET at Littlejohn Coliseum. Georgetown our rank 90 · 3-0; Clemson our rank 63 · 3-0.
Who will win Georgetown vs Clemson?
The model gives Clemson a 76% chance to beat Georgetown, with a projected score of Clemson 79, Georgetown 71. The spread is Clemson −4.5, with an over/under of 145.5. The model makes it Clemson by 7.9, 3.4 points toward Clemson, and projects 150 total points.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clemson | |||||
| BucknerG · 32 min | 16.7 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 15+ 59% | |
| FaulknerF · 31 min | 15.1 | 8.3 | 3.3 | 15+ 49% | |
| LeleviciusF · 31 min | 14.0 | 6.0 | 1.4 | 15+ 43% | |
| CertaG · 30 min | 11.5 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 10+ 59% | |
| Georgetown | |||||
| IwuchukwuC · 26 min | 16.4 | 7.2 | 0.5 | 15+ 57% | |
| LoweG · 34 min | 14.2 | 3.2 | 4.9 | 15+ 44% | |
| MulreadyG · 32 min | 9.6 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 10+ 46% | |
| JacksonG · 28 min | 9.3 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 10+ 43% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Dylan Faulkner: Georgetown 34%Clemson 66%
The white mark is the call with him: Clemson 76%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Clemson without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clemson | ||||
| Dylan Faulkner | 3.5 | 66% | −10 | 73–77 |
| Ace Buckner | 3.1 | 67% | −9 | 72–77 |
| Liutauras Lelevicius | 2.4 | 69% | −7 | 72–77 |
| Chase Thompson | 1.9 | 70% | −6 | 72–78 |
| Georgetown | ||||
| Vince Iwuchukwu | 2.5 | 82% | +6 | 70–80 |
| Jaland Lowe | 2.2 | 82% | +6 | 70–80 |
| Elmarko Jackson | 1.9 | 81% | +5 | 70–80 |
| Kayvaun Mulready | 1.7 | 81% | +5 | 70–80 |
Change is in Clemson's win chance, in points. Scores read Georgetown, then Clemson. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
| Spread | Over/under | |
|---|---|---|
| Line | Clemson −4.5 | 145.5 |
| Model | Clemson −7.9 | 149.5 |
| Gap | 3.4 toward Clemson | 4 higher |
A gap is a difference of opinion, not a tip. When the model and the line have been 2 or more points apart, the model's side has covered 51.6% of 3,317 games. This season the model's side has covered 163 of 337 spreads (48%); over 11,507 games in the last two seasons it covered 50.6%. It takes about 52.4% to break even at standard odds. Scorecard
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Georgetown 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 83-78vs Delaware StDidn't cover −30.5 · Over 143.5
- Nov 7W 86-74vs MarylandCovered +3.5 · Over 146.5
- Nov 2W 80-58vs Loyola MD
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 83.0 and allowing 70.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Georgetown | Clemson | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 111.4 79th | 115.3 50th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 103.5 100th | 102.0 84th |
| Possessions a game | 70.0 266th | 69.0 333rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.6% 99th | 53.1% 35th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.1% 294th | 54.2% 352nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.9% 169th | 18.0% 172nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.8% 181st | 30.9% 236th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 109th | 0.32 11th |
The widest gap: Clemson's offense (50th) against Georgetown's defense (100th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Georgetown 33, Clemson 37
- First-half margin
- Clemson by 4.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 70.1
- Projected second half
- Georgetown 38, Clemson 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 79.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Georgetown, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 40.3 scored, 30.3 allowed
- Clemson, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 42.0 scored, 33.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Georgetown
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaland LoweG | 34 | 14.2 | 3.2 | 4.9 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 44% · 5+ ast 52% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Kayvaun MulreadyG | 32 | 9.6 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 4+ reb 57% · 2+ threes 55% | |||||
| Elmarko JacksonG | 28 | 9.3 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 2+ ast 51% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Caleb WilliamsF | 27 | 7.6 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 4+ reb 54% · 2+ threes 39% | |||||
| Vince IwuchukwuC | 26 | 16.4 | 7.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 15+ pts 57% · 7+ reb 55% | |||||
| Josiah ParkerF | 17 | 6.1 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 4+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 31% | |||||
| Gabriel LandeiraG | 15 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Chol MachotC | 14 | 5.6 | 3.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 42% | |||||
Clemson
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace BucknerG | 32 | 16.7 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 59% · 4+ ast 53% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Liutauras LeleviciusF | 31 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 15+ pts 43% · 6+ reb 52% · 2+ threes 45% | |||||
| Dylan FaulknerF | 31 | 15.1 | 8.3 | 3.3 | 0.0 |
| 15+ pts 49% · 9+ reb 44% · 4+ ast 41% | |||||
| Cole CertaG | 30 | 11.5 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| 10+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 43% · 2+ threes 57% | |||||
| Chase ThompsonF | 27 | 9.2 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 4+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Dallas ThomasF | 20 | 6.1 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| David FuchsF | 16 | 8.4 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 5+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 28% | |||||
| Harris ReynoldsG | 12 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 26% · 2+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 27% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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