Who won Stetson vs Clemson?
Final: Clemson 85, Stetson 72. Before tip-off the model gave Clemson a 99% chance to win, with a projected margin of 30.0 points for Clemson. Ace Buckner scored 20 for Clemson; Collin Kuhl had 20 for Stetson.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Dylan Faulkner: Stetson 2%Clemson 98%
The white mark is the call with him: Clemson 99%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Clemson without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clemson | ||||
| Dylan Faulkner | 3.5 | 98% | −1 | 53–80 |
| Ace Buckner | 3.1 | 99% | 0 | 53–80 |
| Liutauras Lelevicius | 2.4 | 99% | 0 | 53–80 |
| Chase Thompson | 1.9 | 99% | 0 | 53–81 |
Change is in Clemson's win chance, in points. Scores read Stetson, then Clemson. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Stetson
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Clemson
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Stetson | Clemson | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 101.1 245th | 115.3 50th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 117.2 358th | 102.0 84th |
| Possessions a game | 69.5 307th | 69.0 333rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.4% 114th | 53.1% 35th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.9% 329th | 54.2% 352nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.5% 112th | 18.0% 172nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.7% 294th | 30.9% 236th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 249th | 0.32 11th |
The widest gap: Clemson's offense (50th) against Stetson's defense (358th), of 365 teams.
First half
Clemson led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 8.5 points and the total by 10.4.
- At halftime
- Stetson 24, Clemson 49
- Projected halftime score
- Stetson 23, Clemson 40
- First-half margin
- Clemson by 16.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Stetson
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magnus EntenmannF | 31 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Makhi MylesF | 25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Thiago SucatzkyG | 25 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| Sean MorganG | 23 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Alex DoyleF | 22 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Collin KuhlF | 21 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Roman MillerG | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jean-Ernest Boyomo KeediF | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel MacgregorG | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Clemson
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liutauras LeleviciusF | 34 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| Dylan FaulknerF | 33 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| Cole CertaG | 32 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| Ace BucknerG | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Chase ThompsonF | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| David FuchsF | 18 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Dallas ThomasF | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Harris ReynoldsG | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Trent SteinourF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |