Loyola MD 58, Georgetown 80
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 6:30 PM ET at Capital One Arena. Loyola MD our rank 343 · 1-3; Georgetown our rank 90 · 3-0.
Who won Loyola MD vs Georgetown?
Final: Georgetown 80, Loyola Maryland 58. Before tip-off the model gave Georgetown a 96% chance to win, with a projected margin of 21.8 points for Georgetown. Jaland Lowe scored 23 for Georgetown; Leo Ricketts had 10 for Loyola MD.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Vince Iwuchukwu: Loyola MD 6%Georgetown 94%
The white mark is the call with him: Georgetown 96%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Georgetown without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgetown | ||||
| Vince Iwuchukwu | 2.5 | 94% | −2 | 58–77 |
| Jaland Lowe | 2.2 | 94% | −2 | 58–78 |
| Elmarko Jackson | 1.9 | 95% | −1 | 58–78 |
| Kayvaun Mulready | 1.7 | 95% | −1 | 58–78 |
Change is in Georgetown's win chance, in points. Scores read Loyola MD, then Georgetown. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Loyola MD
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Georgetown
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Loyola MD | Georgetown | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 96.3 321st | 111.4 79th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 115.0 337th | 103.5 100th |
| Possessions a game | 70.8 184th | 70.0 266th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.8% 302nd | 51.6% 99th |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.7% 197th | 52.1% 294th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.7% 140th | 17.9% 169th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.5% 261st | 31.8% 181st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 362nd | 0.27 109th |
The widest gap: Georgetown's offense (79th) against Loyola MD's defense (337th), of 365 teams.
First half
Georgetown led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 12.0 points and the total by 0.4.
- At halftime
- Loyola MD 20, Georgetown 44
- Projected halftime score
- Loyola MD 26, Georgetown 38
- First-half margin
- Georgetown by 12.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Loyola MD
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastien EmenaloF | 28 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 1 |
| Carter Berg-McLeanG | 28 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| D'Andre HarrisonF | 27 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Leo RickettsG | 22 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Robbie Long IIIG | 22 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Everett BarnesF | 19 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Gage HowardF | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Abdullah AmzilF | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Max OrtegaG | 10 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Georgetown
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaland LoweG | 34 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| Kayvaun MulreadyG | 26 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Elmarko JacksonG | 26 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Caleb WilliamsF | 24 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Vince IwuchukwuC | 23 | 21 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| Josiah ParkerF | 22 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| Gabriel LandeiraG | 16 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Chol MachotC | 13 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pedro PastreF | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |