Navy at Georgetown
Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 6:30 PM ET at Capital One Arena. Navy our rank 271 · 3-1; Georgetown our rank 90 · 3-0.
Who will win Navy vs Georgetown?
The model gives Georgetown a 95% chance to beat Navy, with a projected score of Georgetown 80, Navy 63.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgetown | |||||
| IwuchukwuC · 25 min | 17.9 | 7.9 | 0.6 | 20+ 38% | |
| LoweG · 33 min | 15.3 | 3.4 | 5.9 | 15+ 51% | |
| MulreadyG · 31 min | 10.4 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 10+ 51% | |
| JacksonG · 27 min | 10.1 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 10+ 49% | |
| Navy | |||||
| PennickG · 29 min | 14.5 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 15+ 46% | |
| BurnettG · 26 min | 8.3 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 10+ 35% | |
| KimG · 30 min | 7.7 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 10+ 31% | |
| ColeG · 28 min | 7.1 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 5+ 65% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Vince Iwuchukwu: Navy 8%Georgetown 92%
The white mark is the call with him: Georgetown 95%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Georgetown without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgetown | ||||
| Vince Iwuchukwu | 2.5 | 92% | −3 | 64–79 |
| Jaland Lowe | 2.2 | 92% | −3 | 64–79 |
| Elmarko Jackson | 1.9 | 93% | −2 | 63–80 |
| Kayvaun Mulready | 1.7 | 93% | −2 | 63–80 |
Change is in Georgetown's win chance, in points. Scores read Navy, then Georgetown. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Navy 3-1LWWW
- Nov 11W 81-76vs PennCovered +8.5 · Over 147.5
- Nov 8W 102-46vs Central Penn
- Nov 5W 66-60vs Delaware StDidn't cover −9.5 · Under 136.5
- Nov 2L 39-91at G Washington
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 72.0 and allowing 68.2
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Georgetown 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 83-78vs Delaware StDidn't cover −30.5 · Over 143.5
- Nov 7W 86-74vs MarylandCovered +3.5 · Over 146.5
- Nov 2W 80-58vs Loyola MD
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 83.0 and allowing 70.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Navy | Georgetown | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 97.0 317th | 111.4 79th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 108.5 184th | 103.5 100th |
| Possessions a game | 69.7 292nd | 70.0 266th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.1% 352nd | 51.6% 99th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.9% 327th | 52.1% 294th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 20.2% 347th | 17.9% 169th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.1% 222nd | 31.8% 181st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.26 155th | 0.27 109th |
The widest gap: Georgetown's defense (100th) against Navy's offense (317th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Navy 29, Georgetown 38
- First-half margin
- Georgetown by 9.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 67.1
- Projected second half
- Navy 34, Georgetown 42
- Second-half points, both teams
- 75.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Navy, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 36.0 scored, 30.2 allowed
- Georgetown, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 40.3 scored, 30.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Navy
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinwoo KimG | 30 | 7.7 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 53% | |||||
| Jordan PennickG | 29 | 14.5 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| 15+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 42% · 2+ threes 52% | |||||
| Cam ColeG | 28 | 7.1 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 2+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 62% | |||||
| David BurnettG | 26 | 8.3 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 6+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
| Jerry Ashley Jr.F | 24 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 5+ reb 53% | |||||
| Justin NordinG | 15 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 2+ reb 39% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Sean GriffinF | 15 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 3+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Luke MayberryG | 13 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 16% · 2+ reb 35% · 1+ threes 29% | |||||
Georgetown
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaland LoweG | 33 | 15.3 | 3.4 | 5.9 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 51% · 6+ ast 52% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Kayvaun MulreadyG | 31 | 10.4 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 5+ reb 47% · 3+ ast 44% | |||||
| Elmarko JacksonG | 27 | 10.1 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Caleb WilliamsF | 26 | 8.2 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 5+ reb 44% · 2+ threes 41% | |||||
| Vince IwuchukwuC | 25 | 17.9 | 7.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 20+ pts 38% · 8+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 15% | |||||
| Josiah ParkerF | 17 | 6.8 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 4+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 37% | |||||
| Gabriel LandeiraG | 16 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 2+ ast 49% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Chol MachotC | 15 | 6.4 | 3.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 4+ reb 51% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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