Who will win Hampton vs Navy?
The model gives Navy a 61% chance to beat Hampton, with a projected score of Navy 70, Hampton 67.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.8% of the time in 15,721 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Navy | |||||
| PennickG · 31 min | 16.7 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 15+ 59% | |
| BurnettG · 27 min | 9.5 | 6.5 | 1.3 | 10+ 44% | |
| KimG · 32 min | 8.9 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 10+ 40% | |
| ColeG · 29 min | 8.2 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 10+ 35% | |
 Hampton | |||||
| HubbardG · 26 min | 13.3 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 15+ 38% | |
| Davis IIIG · 23 min | 8.6 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 10+ 37% | |
| Mitchell Jr.G · 24 min | 8.1 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 10+ 34% | |
| LawrenceG · 28 min | 7.8 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 10+ 32% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Hampton 1-2LLW
- Nov 10W 67-56vs Apprentice School
- Nov 7L 61-75at G WashingtonCovered +20.5 · Under 147.5
- Nov 3L 55-75at Georgia Tech
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 61.0 and allowing 68.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
Navy 3-1LWWW
- Nov 11W 81-76vs PennCovered +8.5 · Over 147.5
- Nov 8W 102-46vs Central Penn
- Nov 5W 66-60vs Delaware StDidn't cover −9.5 · Under 136.5
- Nov 2L 39-91at G Washington
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 72.0 and allowing 68.2
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Hampton | Navy | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 97.5 308th | 97.0 317th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 109.4 208th | 108.5 184th |
| Possessions a game | 70.0 266th | 69.7 292nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.2% 325th | 47.1% 352nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.7% 52nd | 52.9% 327th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 16.6% 32nd | 20.2% 347th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 28.2% 346th | 31.1% 222nd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 113th | 0.26 155th |
The widest gap: Navy's defense (184th) against Hampton's offense (308th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Hampton 31, Navy 33
- First-half margin
- Navy by 1.7
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.6
- Projected second half
- Hampton 36, Navy 37
- Second-half points, both teams
- 73.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Hampton, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 25.0 scored, 36.0 allowed
- Navy, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 36.0 scored, 30.2 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Hampton
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nehemiah LawrenceG | 28 | 7.8 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 54% | |||||
| Seth HubbardG | 26 | 13.3 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| 15+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 59% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Cornelius Robinson IIIF | 24 | 6.9 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 5+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 28% | |||||
| Jayme Mitchell Jr.G | 24 | 8.1 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 4+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
| Max FrazierF | 24 | 7.5 | 4.8 | 1.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 5+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 29% | |||||
| Etienne StrothersG | 23 | 7.1 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 2+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Aaron Davis IIIG | 23 | 8.6 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 2.1 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 56% · 2+ threes 55% | |||||
| Rav RandhawaG | 10 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| 2+ reb 30% · 1+ threes 24% | |||||
Navy
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinwoo KimG | 32 | 8.9 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 3+ ast 42% · 2+ threes 43% | |||||
| Jordan PennickG | 31 | 16.7 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| 15+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 57% | |||||
| Cam ColeG | 29 | 8.2 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 40% · 3+ ast 52% | |||||
| David BurnettG | 27 | 9.5 | 6.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 7+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Jerry Ashley Jr.F | 25 | 5.9 | 5.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 6+ reb 48% | |||||
| Justin NordinG | 15 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 2+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Sean GriffinF | 14 | 5.4 | 2.8 | 0.3 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 3+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Luke MayberryG | 13 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 17% · 2+ reb 37% · 1+ threes 29% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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