Hampton at Old Dominion
Tuesday, November 24, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Chartway Arena. Hampton our rank 277 · 1-2; Old Dominion our rank 155 · 4-0.
Who will win Hampton vs Old Dominion?
The model gives Old Dominion a 80% chance to beat Hampton, with a projected score of Old Dominion 74, Hampton 65.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Old Dominion | |||||
| WigginsG · 30 min | 12.1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 10+ 62% | |
| HolimanG · 28 min | 12.1 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 10+ 62% | |
| TurnerF · 22 min | 7.7 | 4.7 | 0.6 | 10+ 31% | |
| BenjaminG · 23 min | 7.5 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 5+ 69% | |
| Hampton | |||||
| HubbardG · 25 min | 12.7 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 15+ 35% | |
| Davis IIIG · 23 min | 8.2 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 10+ 35% | |
| Mitchell Jr.G · 23 min | 7.8 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 10+ 32% | |
| LawrenceG · 27 min | 7.4 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 5+ 68% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Bubu Benjamin: Hampton 23%Old Dominion 77%
The white mark is the call with him: Old Dominion 80%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Old Dominion without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Old Dominion | ||||
| Bubu Benjamin | 0.9 | 77% | −3 | 65–74 |
| Adante' Holiman | 0.8 | 78% | −2 | 65–74 |
| Zacch Wiggins | 0.5 | 78% | −2 | 65–74 |
Change is in Old Dominion's win chance, in points. Scores read Hampton, then Old Dominion. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Hampton 1-2LLW
- Nov 10W 67-56vs Apprentice School
- Nov 7L 61-75at G WashingtonCovered +20.5 · Under 147.5
- Nov 3L 55-75at Georgia Tech
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 61.0 and allowing 68.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
Old Dominion 4-0WWWW
- Nov 11W 71-60at Norfolk StCovered −6.5 · Under 136.5
- Nov 7W 82-62at BucknellCovered −5.5 · Over 140.5
- Nov 4W 91-47vs Regent
- Nov 2W 61-49vs W Michigan
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 76.2 and allowing 54.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Hampton | Old Dominion | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 97.5 308th | 101.7 234th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 109.4 208th | 104.7 110th |
| Possessions a game | 70.0 266th | 70.2 245th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.2% 325th | 53.4% 24th |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.7% 52nd | 48.1% 37th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 16.6% 32nd | 19.2% 299th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 28.2% 346th | 34.1% 55th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 113th | 0.23 315th |
The widest gap: Old Dominion's defense (110th) against Hampton's offense (308th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Hampton 30, Old Dominion 35
- First-half margin
- Old Dominion by 5.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 65.3
- Projected second half
- Hampton 35, Old Dominion 39
- Second-half points, both teams
- 73.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Hampton, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 25.0 scored, 36.0 allowed
- Old Dominion, first halves so far
- Led 4 of 4 · 36.8 scored, 23.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Hampton
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nehemiah LawrenceG | 27 | 7.4 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 3+ reb 48% · 3+ ast 50% | |||||
| Seth HubbardG | 25 | 12.7 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 56% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Cornelius Robinson IIIF | 24 | 6.6 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 5+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 26% | |||||
| Jayme Mitchell Jr.G | 23 | 7.8 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 4+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 62% | |||||
| Max FrazierF | 23 | 7.2 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 5+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 27% | |||||
| Etienne StrothersG | 23 | 6.9 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 2+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Aaron Davis IIIG | 23 | 8.2 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 54% · 2+ threes 54% | |||||
| Rav RandhawaG | 11 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| 2+ reb 30% · 1+ threes 24% | |||||
Old Dominion
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zacch WigginsG | 30 | 12.1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 4+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 57% | |||||
| Adante' HolimanG | 28 | 12.1 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 2+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 58% | |||||
| Bubu BenjaminG | 23 | 7.5 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 2+ reb 60% · 2+ ast 40% | |||||
| Zamoku Weluche-UmeF | 22 | 6.8 | 5.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 6+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Jared TurnerF | 22 | 7.7 | 4.7 | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 5+ reb 48% · 2+ threes 44% | |||||
| Jotham NwekeF | 18 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 4+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 30% | |||||
| Kylan HowzeF | 17 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 4+ reb 53% | |||||
| Khoi ThurmonG | 17 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 53% · 3+ ast 44% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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