Who will win Stanford vs Colorado?
The model gives Stanford a 51% chance to beat Colorado, with a projected score of Stanford 74, Colorado 74.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Stanford | |||||
| TownsendF · 35 min | 18.9 | 6.8 | 4.0 | 20+ 43% | |
| PriceG · 31 min | 11.3 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 10+ 57% | |
| BlissG · 26 min | 11.2 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 10+ 57% | |
| OlajuwonG · 24 min | 8.0 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 10+ 33% | |
 Colorado | |||||
| HargressG · 34 min | 17.7 | 2.3 | 4.3 | 20+ 37% | |
| InmanG · 28 min | 11.3 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 10+ 57% | |
| SandersG · 28 min | 9.5 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 10+ 44% | |
| NeelyF · 19 min | 9.4 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 10+ 44% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Nick Townsend: Stanford 34%Colorado 66%
The white mark is the call with him: Stanford 51%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Stanford without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford | ||||
| Nick Townsend | 4.4 | 34% | −17 | 72–76 |
| Aidan Cammann | 2.0 | 43% | −8 | 74–75 |
| Austin Maurer | 1.7 | 44% | −7 | 74–75 |
| Christian Bliss | 1.7 | 44% | −7 | 74–75 |
| Colorado | ||||
| Barrington Hargress | 3.2 | 64% | +13 | 76–73 |
| Noah Feddersen | 2.4 | 60% | +9 | 76–73 |
| Justin Neely | 1.9 | 59% | +8 | 75–73 |
| Josiah Sanders | 1.7 | 58% | +7 | 75–73 |
Change is in Stanford's win chance, in points. Scores read Stanford, then Colorado. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Stanford 3-0WWW
- Nov 9W 91-73vs RiceDidn't cover −18.5 · Over 145.5
- Nov 6W 81-63vs OaklandCovered −14.5 · Under 146.5
- Nov 2W 74-65vs E Washington
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 82.0 and allowing 67.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Colorado 2-1WLW
- Nov 10W 83-75vs San DiegoDidn't cover −12.5 · Over 151.5
- Nov 7L 66-77vs San Diego StDidn't cover +3.5 · Under 151.5
- Nov 2W 94-59vs Abilene Chrstn
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 81.0 and allowing 70.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Stanford | Colorado | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 111.0 84th | 109.2 99th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 101.3 74th | 99.9 56th |
| Possessions a game | 70.4 222nd | 71.7 87th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.7% 168th | 52.3% 71st |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.7% 195th | 50.7% 195th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.3% 209th | 18.7% 260th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.5% 307th | 28.6% 334th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.26 212th | 0.26 171st |
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Stanford 35, Colorado 35
- First-half margin
- Stanford by 0.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 69.8
- Projected second half
- Stanford 40, Colorado 39
- Second-half points, both teams
- 78.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Stanford, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 39.0 scored, 30.7 allowed
- Colorado, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 29.0 scored, 35.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Stanford
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick TownsendF | 35 | 18.9 | 6.8 | 4.0 | 0.9 |
| 20+ pts 43% · 7+ reb 50% · 4+ ast 54% | |||||
| Julius PriceG | 31 | 11.3 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 54% · 3+ ast 57% | |||||
| Christian BlissG | 26 | 11.2 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 4+ reb 55% · 3+ ast 50% | |||||
| Aziz OlajuwonG | 24 | 8.0 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 55% · 2+ threes 39% | |||||
| Aidan CammannF | 23 | 8.0 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 4+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 33% | |||||
| Isaiah RogersG | 20 | 5.9 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 2+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Austin MaurerC | 19 | 7.0 | 5.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 5+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 19% | |||||
| Evan StinsonF | 11 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 23% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 18% | |||||
Colorado
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrington HargressG | 34 | 17.7 | 2.3 | 4.3 | 2.3 |
| 20+ pts 37% · 5+ ast 43% · 2+ threes 59% | |||||
| Noah FeddersenC | 30 | 8.9 | 5.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 6+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 35% | |||||
| Josiah SandersG | 28 | 9.5 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 4+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
| Ian InmanG | 28 | 11.3 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 2.6 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 52% · 3+ threes 44% | |||||
| Alex DickesonG | 27 | 8.0 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 5+ reb 48% · 3+ ast 47% | |||||
| Jalin HollandG | 21 | 7.0 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Justin NeelyF | 19 | 9.4 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 6+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
| Goc MalualF | 11 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 22% · 2+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 15% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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