Vanderbilt at Ohio State
Tuesday, November 24, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Schottenstein Center. Vanderbilt AP 22, our rank 12 · 3-0; Ohio State our rank 50 · 2-1.
Who will win Vanderbilt vs Ohio State?
The model gives Vanderbilt a 59% chance to beat Ohio State, with a projected score of Vanderbilt 79, Ohio State 77.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt | |||||
| TannerG · 32 min | 17.7 | 4.4 | 3.7 | 20+ 37% | |
| GlassG · 26 min | 15.9 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 15+ 54% | |
| BuyuktuncelC · 28 min | 9.8 | 6.0 | 2.2 | 10+ 47% | |
| BingF · 25 min | 7.8 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 10+ 32% | |
| Ohio State | |||||
| Mobley Jr.G · 33 min | 17.5 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 15+ 63% | |
| BynumF · 32 min | 12.8 | 5.4 | 1.8 | 15+ 35% | |
| JelavicF · 25 min | 11.4 | 6.1 | 0.8 | 10+ 58% | |
| PippenG · 26 min | 10.8 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 10+ 54% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Tyler Tanner: Vanderbilt 38%Ohio State 62%
The white mark is the call with him: Vanderbilt 59%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Vanderbilt without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt | ||||
| Tyler Tanner | 5.9 | 38% | −21 | 76–80 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel | 3.8 | 46% | −13 | 77–79 |
| Ace Glass | 2.6 | 50% | −9 | 78–78 |
| Bangot Dak | 2.5 | 50% | −9 | 78–78 |
| Ohio State | ||||
| John Mobley Jr. | 3.5 | 71% | +12 | 81–75 |
| Amare Bynum | 3.2 | 70% | +11 | 81–75 |
| Justin Pippen | 2.8 | 69% | +10 | 81–75 |
| Andrija Jelavic | 2.6 | 68% | +9 | 80–75 |
Change is in Vanderbilt's win chance, in points. Scores read Vanderbilt, then Ohio State. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Vanderbilt 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 105-81vs MemphisCovered −13.5 · Over 160.5
- Nov 5W 74-51vs Wake ForestCovered −17.5 · Under 155.5
- Nov 2W 93-47vs Bellarmine
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 90.7 and allowing 59.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Ohio State 2-1LWW
- Nov 9W 84-74vs MarshallDidn't cover −25.5 · Under 162.5
- Nov 6W 89-65vs Youngstown StDidn't cover −25.5 · Under 154.5
- Nov 2L 83-94vs BYU
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 85.3 and allowing 77.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Vanderbilt | Ohio State | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 119.6 17th | 118.0 23rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 94.6 22nd | 101.8 81st |
| Possessions a game | 71.0 157th | 70.3 238th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 52.3% 73rd | 50.3% 200th |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.8% 60th | 51.7% 269th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.0% 68th | 18.2% 202nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 34.0% 60th | 32.7% 121st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 280th | 0.32 18th |
The widest gap: Vanderbilt's offense (17th) against Ohio State's defense (81st), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Vanderbilt 37, Ohio State 36
- First-half margin
- Vanderbilt by 1.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 73.1
- Projected second half
- Vanderbilt 42, Ohio State 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 82.7
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Vanderbilt, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 2 · 41.5 scored, 22.0 allowed
- Ohio State, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 40.0 scored, 31.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Vanderbilt
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler TannerG | 32 | 17.7 | 4.4 | 3.7 | 1.3 |
| 20+ pts 37% · 5+ reb 43% · 4+ ast 50% | |||||
| Berke BuyuktuncelC | 28 | 9.8 | 6.0 | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 47% · 6+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Ace GlassG | 26 | 15.9 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 2.8 |
| 15+ pts 54% · 2+ ast 49% · 3+ threes 48% | |||||
| Chandler BingF | 25 | 7.8 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 37% | |||||
| Sebastian Williams-AdamsF | 24 | 6.8 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 4+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| T.O. BarrettF | 17 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 61% | |||||
| Bangot DakF | 17 | 6.7 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 4+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Ant Brown Jr.G | 16 | 6.5 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 2+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
Ohio State
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Mobley Jr.G | 33 | 17.5 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 2.5 |
| 15+ pts 63% · 4+ ast 46% · 3+ threes 43% | |||||
| Amare BynumF | 32 | 12.8 | 5.4 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 15+ pts 35% · 6+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Justin PippenG | 26 | 10.8 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 3+ ast 54% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Andrija JelavicF | 25 | 11.4 | 6.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 58% · 6+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Anthony ThompsonF | 20 | 6.3 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 4+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Jimmie WilliamsG | 19 | 8.8 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 3+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 42% | |||||
| LJ SmithG | 16 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 2+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Josh OjianwunaF | 14 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 3+ reb 52% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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