Bellarmine 47, Vanderbilt 93
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Memorial Gymnasium (TN). Bellarmine our rank 293 · 1-3; Vanderbilt AP 22, our rank 12 · 3-0.
Who won Bellarmine vs Vanderbilt?
Final: Vanderbilt 93, Bellarmine 47. Before tip-off the model gave Vanderbilt a 99% chance to win, with a projected margin of 28.6 points for Vanderbilt. Tyler Tanner scored 20 for Vanderbilt; Demarcus Surratt had 9 for Bellarmine.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Tyler Tanner: Bellarmine 3%Vanderbilt 97%
The white mark is the call with him: Vanderbilt 99%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Vanderbilt without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt | ||||
| Tyler Tanner | 5.9 | 97% | −2 | 60–83 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel | 3.8 | 98% | −1 | 59–84 |
| Ace Glass | 2.6 | 98% | −1 | 58–84 |
| Bangot Dak | 2.5 | 98% | −1 | 58–84 |
Change is in Vanderbilt's win chance, in points. Scores read Bellarmine, then Vanderbilt. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Bellarmine
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Vanderbilt
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Bellarmine | Vanderbilt | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 104.6 171st | 119.6 17th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 117.5 359th | 94.6 22nd |
| Possessions a game | 69.5 307th | 71.0 157th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.3% 126th | 52.3% 73rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.5% 311th | 48.8% 60th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.0% 289th | 17.0% 68th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.1% 276th | 34.0% 60th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 217th | 0.24 280th |
The widest gap: Vanderbilt's offense (17th) against Bellarmine's defense (359th), of 365 teams.
First half
Vanderbilt led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 11.3 points and the total by 5.9.
- At halftime
- Bellarmine 17, Vanderbilt 44
- Projected halftime score
- Bellarmine 26, Vanderbilt 41
- First-half margin
- Vanderbilt by 15.7
- First-half points, both teams
- 66.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Bellarmine
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam DonaldF | 26 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Tyler DoyleG | 26 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Kenyon GoodinG | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Grant WhitakerG | 25 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jacob WasslerF | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Julius GizziG | 20 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Grant NealG | 19 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Demarcus SurrattG | 18 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Tommy ClarkG | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Vanderbilt
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler TannerG | 28 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| Ace GlassG | 24 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Sebastian Williams-AdamsF | 23 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 1 |
| Chandler BingF | 22 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Berke BuyuktuncelC | 21 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Ant Brown Jr.G | 18 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Bangot DakF | 15 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| T.O. BarrettF | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Jayden LeverettC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |