Prairie View at Vanderbilt
Friday, November 13, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Memorial Gymnasium (TN). Prairie View our rank 357 · 2-2; Vanderbilt AP 22, our rank 12 · 3-0.
Who will win Prairie View vs Vanderbilt?
The model gives Vanderbilt a >99% chance to beat Prairie View A&M, with a projected score of Vanderbilt 98, Prairie View 57. The spread is Vanderbilt −40.5, with an over/under of 152.5. The model makes it Vanderbilt by 41.0, 0.5 points toward Vanderbilt, and projects 154 total points.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt | |||||
| TannerG · 28 min | 18.7 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 20+ 42% | |
| GlassG · 24 min | 17.7 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 20+ 37% | |
| BuyuktuncelC · 25 min | 10.8 | 6.5 | 2.9 | 10+ 54% | |
| BingF · 23 min | 8.8 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 10+ 39% | |
| Prairie View | |||||
| EleyG · 24 min | 11.7 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 10+ 60% | |
| BynumF · 23 min | 9.7 | 5.2 | 0.5 | 10+ 46% | |
| BellG · 25 min | 7.8 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 10+ 32% | |
| GauseG · 24 min | 7.1 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 5+ 65% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Tyler Tanner: Prairie View <1%Vanderbilt >99%
The white mark is the call with him: Vanderbilt >99%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Vanderbilt without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt | ||||
| Tyler Tanner | 5.9 | >99% | 0 | 60–95 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel | 3.8 | >99% | 0 | 59–96 |
| Ace Glass | 2.6 | >99% | 0 | 58–96 |
| Bangot Dak | 2.5 | >99% | 0 | 58–96 |
Change is in Vanderbilt's win chance, in points. Scores read Prairie View, then Vanderbilt. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
| Spread | Over/under | |
|---|---|---|
| Line | Vanderbilt −40.5 | 152.5 |
| Model | Vanderbilt −41 | 154.3 |
| Gap | 0.5 toward Vanderbilt | 1.8 higher |
A gap is a difference of opinion, not a tip. This season the model's side has covered 163 of 337 spreads (48%); over 11,507 games in the last two seasons it covered 50.6%. It takes about 52.4% to break even at standard odds. Scorecard
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Prairie View 2-2WWLL
- Nov 10L 63-98at SMUDidn't cover +26.5 · Over 160.5
- Nov 7L 63-68at UT Rio GrandeCovered +8.5 · Under 149.5
- Nov 5W 103-90vs College of Biblical Studies
- Nov 2W 86-65vs Paul Quinn
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 78.8 and allowing 80.2
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Vanderbilt 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 105-81vs MemphisCovered −13.5 · Over 160.5
- Nov 5W 74-51vs Wake ForestCovered −17.5 · Under 155.5
- Nov 2W 93-47vs Bellarmine
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 90.7 and allowing 59.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Prairie View | Vanderbilt | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 94.7 340th | 119.6 17th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 116.8 354th | 94.6 22nd |
| Possessions a game | 72.3 49th | 71.0 157th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.5% 313th | 52.3% 73rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.9% 63rd | 48.8% 60th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.4% 107th | 17.0% 68th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.6% 256th | 34.0% 60th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 147th | 0.24 280th |
The widest gap: Vanderbilt's offense (17th) against Prairie View's defense (354th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Prairie View 25, Vanderbilt 47
- First-half margin
- Vanderbilt by 22.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 72.4
- Projected second half
- Prairie View 32, Vanderbilt 50
- Second-half points, both teams
- 81.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Prairie View, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 41.2 scored, 37.0 allowed
- Vanderbilt, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 2 · 41.5 scored, 22.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Prairie View
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah MitchellG | 28 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 2+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Micah BellG | 25 | 7.8 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Michael EleyG | 24 | 11.7 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
| Anthony GauseG | 24 | 7.1 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Davis BynumF | 23 | 9.7 | 5.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 5+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 18% | |||||
| Davian WilliamsG | 21 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Jaylen WhartonF | 15 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 17% · 3+ reb 46% | |||||
| Eddie PageF | 14 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 25% · 2+ reb 54% | |||||
Vanderbilt
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler TannerG | 28 | 18.7 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 1.3 |
| 20+ pts 42% · 5+ reb 47% · 5+ ast 49% | |||||
| Berke BuyuktuncelC | 25 | 10.8 | 6.5 | 2.9 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 7+ reb 46% · 3+ ast 53% | |||||
| Ace GlassG | 24 | 17.7 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 3.0 |
| 20+ pts 37% · 4+ reb 45% · 3+ threes 51% | |||||
| Chandler BingF | 23 | 8.8 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 4+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 40% | |||||
| Sebastian Williams-AdamsF | 22 | 7.8 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 2+ ast 52% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| T.O. BarrettF | 18 | 6.6 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 4+ reb 43% · 3+ ast 58% | |||||
| Bangot DakF | 17 | 8.1 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 5+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Ant Brown Jr.G | 16 | 8.1 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 2+ reb 61% · 3+ ast 39% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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