Prairie View at Ohio State
Monday, November 16, 2026, 6:30 PM ET at Schottenstein Center. Prairie View our rank 357 · 2-2; Ohio State our rank 50 · 2-1.
Who will win Prairie View vs Ohio State?
The model gives Ohio State a >99% chance to beat Prairie View A&M, with a projected score of Ohio State 95, Prairie View 62.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State | |||||
| Mobley Jr.G · 30 min | 18.6 | 2.5 | 4.4 | 20+ 42% | |
| BynumF · 28 min | 13.7 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 15+ 41% | |
| JelavicF · 23 min | 12.9 | 6.9 | 1.1 | 15+ 36% | |
| PippenG · 24 min | 12.1 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 10+ 63% | |
| Prairie View | |||||
| EleyG · 24 min | 12.5 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 10+ 65% | |
| BynumF · 23 min | 10.4 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 10+ 51% | |
| BellG · 25 min | 8.3 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 10+ 36% | |
| GauseG · 24 min | 7.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5+ 69% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without John Mobley Jr.: Prairie View <1%Ohio State >99%
The white mark is the call with him: Ohio State >99%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Ohio State without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State | ||||
| John Mobley Jr. | 3.5 | >99% | 0 | 63–94 |
| Amare Bynum | 3.2 | >99% | 0 | 63–94 |
| Justin Pippen | 2.8 | >99% | 0 | 63–94 |
| Andrija Jelavic | 2.6 | >99% | 0 | 63–94 |
Change is in Ohio State's win chance, in points. Scores read Prairie View, then Ohio State. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Prairie View 2-2WWLL
- Nov 10L 63-98at SMUDidn't cover +26.5 · Over 160.5
- Nov 7L 63-68at UT Rio GrandeCovered +8.5 · Under 149.5
- Nov 5W 103-90vs College of Biblical Studies
- Nov 2W 86-65vs Paul Quinn
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 78.8 and allowing 80.2
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Ohio State 2-1LWW
- Nov 9W 84-74vs MarshallDidn't cover −25.5 · Under 162.5
- Nov 6W 89-65vs Youngstown StDidn't cover −25.5 · Under 154.5
- Nov 2L 83-94vs BYU
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 85.3 and allowing 77.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Prairie View | Ohio State | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 94.7 340th | 118.0 23rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 116.8 354th | 101.8 81st |
| Possessions a game | 72.3 49th | 70.3 238th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.5% 313th | 50.3% 200th |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.9% 63rd | 51.7% 269th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.4% 107th | 18.2% 202nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.6% 256th | 32.7% 121st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 147th | 0.32 18th |
The widest gap: Ohio State's offense (23rd) against Prairie View's defense (354th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Prairie View 28, Ohio State 46
- First-half margin
- Ohio State by 18.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 73.6
- Projected second half
- Prairie View 34, Ohio State 49
- Second-half points, both teams
- 83.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Prairie View, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 41.2 scored, 37.0 allowed
- Ohio State, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 40.0 scored, 31.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Prairie View
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah MitchellG | 28 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 2+ ast 42% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Micah BellG | 25 | 8.3 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 3+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Michael EleyG | 24 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 65% · 4+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 62% | |||||
| Anthony GauseG | 24 | 7.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 2+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Davis BynumF | 23 | 10.4 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 6+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 18% | |||||
| Davian WilliamsG | 21 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 2+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Jaylen WhartonF | 15 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 19% · 3+ reb 49% | |||||
| Eddie PageF | 14 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 2+ reb 57% | |||||
Ohio State
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Mobley Jr.G | 30 | 18.6 | 2.5 | 4.4 | 2.6 |
| 20+ pts 42% · 5+ ast 45% · 3+ threes 44% | |||||
| Amare BynumF | 28 | 13.7 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 15+ pts 41% · 6+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Justin PippenG | 24 | 12.1 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 4+ reb 50% · 4+ ast 53% | |||||
| Andrija JelavicF | 23 | 12.9 | 6.9 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| 15+ pts 36% · 7+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Anthony ThompsonF | 20 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 5+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
| Jimmie WilliamsG | 19 | 10.4 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 58% | |||||
| LJ SmithG | 16 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 2+ ast 46% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Josh OjianwunaF | 15 | 5.0 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 4+ reb 49% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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