E Illinois at Vanderbilt
Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Memorial Gymnasium (TN). E Illinois our rank 327 · 1-3; Vanderbilt AP 22, our rank 12 · 3-0.
Who will win E Illinois vs Vanderbilt?
The model gives Vanderbilt a >99% chance to beat Eastern Illinois, with a projected score of Vanderbilt 92, E Illinois 55.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt | |||||
| TannerG · 28 min | 17.8 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 20+ 37% | |
| GlassG · 24 min | 16.8 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 15+ 60% | |
| BuyuktuncelC · 25 min | 10.2 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 10+ 50% | |
| BingF · 23 min | 8.4 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 10+ 36% | |
| E Illinois | |||||
| BurtonF · 19 min | 8.6 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 10+ 37% | |
| WelchF · 21 min | 8.1 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 10+ 34% | |
| VogelC · 18 min | 7.0 | 4.7 | 0.6 | 5+ 65% | |
| NtambweF · 20 min | 6.1 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 5+ 57% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Tyler Tanner: E Illinois <1%Vanderbilt >99%
The white mark is the call with him: Vanderbilt >99%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Vanderbilt without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt | ||||
| Tyler Tanner | 5.9 | >99% | 0 | 58–89 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel | 3.8 | >99% | 0 | 57–90 |
| Ace Glass | 2.6 | >99% | 0 | 57–90 |
| Bangot Dak | 2.5 | >99% | 0 | 57–90 |
Change is in Vanderbilt's win chance, in points. Scores read E Illinois, then Vanderbilt. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
E Illinois 1-3LLLW
- Nov 11W 102-44vs Blackburn
- Nov 9L 70-94at Notre DameCovered +28.5 · Over 139.5
- Nov 6L 47-91at IowaDidn't cover +34.5 · Over 135.5
- Nov 2L 57-91at Indiana
- Last 4
- 1–3, scoring 69.0 and allowing 80.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 0 under
Vanderbilt 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 105-81vs MemphisCovered −13.5 · Over 160.5
- Nov 5W 74-51vs Wake ForestCovered −17.5 · Under 155.5
- Nov 2W 93-47vs Bellarmine
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 90.7 and allowing 59.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| E Illinois | Vanderbilt | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 95.8 327th | 119.6 17th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 112.0 288th | 94.6 22nd |
| Possessions a game | 70.1 261st | 71.0 157th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.8% 157th | 52.3% 73rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 55.0% 359th | 48.8% 60th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 21.2% 360th | 17.0% 68th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.5% 308th | 34.0% 60th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 122nd | 0.24 280th |
The widest gap: Vanderbilt's defense (22nd) against E Illinois's offense (327th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- E Illinois 25, Vanderbilt 44
- First-half margin
- Vanderbilt by 19.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 69.0
- Projected second half
- E Illinois 31, Vanderbilt 47
- Second-half points, both teams
- 78.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- E Illinois, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 32.2 scored, 38.8 allowed
- Vanderbilt, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 2 · 41.5 scored, 22.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
E Illinois
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin WelchF | 21 | 8.1 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 3+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 41% | |||||
| Jaden MillerG | 20 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 2+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 58% | |||||
| Daniel NtambweF | 20 | 6.1 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 31% | |||||
| Jayden WrightG | 19 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 2+ ast 48% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Demar BurtonF | 19 | 8.6 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 51% to play · 10+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 25% | |||||
| Markus BlackwellG | 18 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 2+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Tanner VogelC | 18 | 7.0 | 4.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 5+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 30% | |||||
| Devin DavenportG | 18 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 2+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
Missed the last game: Demar Burton (22 min a game).
Vanderbilt
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler TannerG | 28 | 17.8 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 1.3 |
| 20+ pts 37% · 5+ reb 44% · 5+ ast 44% | |||||
| Berke BuyuktuncelC | 25 | 10.2 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 6+ reb 56% · 3+ ast 49% | |||||
| Ace GlassG | 24 | 16.8 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 2.8 |
| 15+ pts 60% · 4+ reb 43% · 3+ threes 49% | |||||
| Chandler BingF | 23 | 8.4 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Sebastian Williams-AdamsF | 22 | 7.4 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 4+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| T.O. BarrettF | 18 | 6.3 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 58% · 3+ ast 54% | |||||
| Bangot DakF | 17 | 7.7 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 5+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Ant Brown Jr.G | 16 | 7.6 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 2+ reb 59% · 2+ ast 59% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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