Purdue FW at E Illinois
Sunday, November 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET at Groniger Arena. Purdue FW our rank 280 · 1-2; E Illinois our rank 327 · 1-3.
Who will win Purdue FW vs E Illinois?
The model gives Purdue Fort Wayne a 55% chance to beat Eastern Illinois, with a projected score of Purdue FW 73, E Illinois 72.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue FW | |||||
| Isaac Jr.F · 22 min | 11.2 | 5.5 | 0.8 | 10+ 57% | |
| Craig Jr.G · 28 min | 11.0 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 10+ 55% | |
| WilliamsonG · 26 min | 8.2 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 10+ 35% | |
| Thompson IIIG · 18 min | 6.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 5+ 60% | |
| E Illinois | |||||
| BurtonF · 21 min | 11.4 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 10+ 58% | |
| WelchF · 22 min | 10.2 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 10+ 50% | |
| VogelC · 17 min | 8.5 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 10+ 37% | |
| NtambweF · 20 min | 7.6 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 5+ 69% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Purdue FW 1-2LWL
- Nov 12L 59-81vs W MichiganDidn't cover +2.5 · Under 153.5
- Nov 7W 103-65vs Albion
- Nov 3L 71-78at Duquesne
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 77.7 and allowing 74.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
E Illinois 1-3LLLW
- Nov 11W 102-44vs Blackburn
- Nov 9L 70-94at Notre DameCovered +28.5 · Over 139.5
- Nov 6L 47-91at IowaDidn't cover +34.5 · Over 135.5
- Nov 2L 57-91at Indiana
- Last 4
- 1–3, scoring 69.0 and allowing 80.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Purdue FW | E Illinois | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 99.2 287th | 95.8 327th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 111.5 278th | 112.0 288th |
| Possessions a game | 71.1 143rd | 70.1 261st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.2% 276th | 50.8% 157th |
| Opponents' shooting | 53.1% 333rd | 55.0% 359th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.3% 209th | 21.2% 360th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 28.3% 344th | 29.5% 308th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 216th | 0.27 122nd |
The widest gap: Purdue FW's defense (278th) against E Illinois's offense (327th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Purdue FW 34, E Illinois 34
- First-half margin
- Purdue FW by 0.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 67.9
- Projected second half
- Purdue FW 39, E Illinois 38
- Second-half points, both teams
- 76.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Purdue FW, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 41.7 scored, 32.3 allowed
- E Illinois, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 32.2 scored, 38.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Purdue FW
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Craig Jr.G | 28 | 11.0 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 43% · 3+ ast 49% | |||||
| Ashton WilliamsonG | 26 | 8.2 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 50% · 3+ ast 49% | |||||
| EJ MosleyG | 23 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 2+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Anthony Isaac Jr.F | 22 | 11.2 | 5.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 6+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 19% | |||||
| Edir OrtizF | 21 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Carl Thompson IIIG | 18 | 6.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| DeAndre LewisG | 16 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 2+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Chris MorganG | 16 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 2+ ast 40% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
E Illinois
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin WelchF | 22 | 10.2 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 4+ reb 42% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Jaden MillerG | 21 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 2+ reb 60% · 3+ ast 56% | |||||
| Demar BurtonF | 21 | 11.4 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 51% to play · 10+ pts 58% · 4+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 31% | |||||
| Daniel NtambweF | 20 | 7.6 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 4+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 35% | |||||
| Jayden WrightG | 20 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 3+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Markus BlackwellG | 18 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 2+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Devin DavenportG | 17 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Tanner VogelC | 17 | 8.5 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 6+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
Missed the last game: Demar Burton (22 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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