E Illinois 57, Indiana 91
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall. E Illinois our rank 327 · 1-3; Indiana our rank 43 · 4-0.
Who won E Illinois vs Indiana?
Final: Indiana 91, Eastern Illinois 57. Before tip-off the model gave Indiana a 99% chance to win, with a projected margin of 26.9 points for Indiana. Markus Burton scored 19 for Indiana; Demar Burton had 10 for E Illinois.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Aiden Sherrell: E Illinois 3%Indiana 97%
The white mark is the call with him: Indiana 99%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Indiana without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | ||||
| Aiden Sherrell | 3.7 | 97% | −2 | 54–77 |
| Darren Harris | 2.6 | 98% | −1 | 53–78 |
| Markus Burton | 2.5 | 98% | −1 | 53–78 |
| Sam Alexis | 2.3 | 98% | −1 | 53–78 |
Change is in Indiana's win chance, in points. Scores read E Illinois, then Indiana. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
E Illinois
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Indiana
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| E Illinois | Indiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 95.8 327th | 116.0 39th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 112.0 288th | 99.4 49th |
| Possessions a game | 70.1 261st | 70.4 222nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.8% 157th | 51.2% 133rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 55.0% 359th | 51.3% 244th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 21.2% 360th | 17.9% 165th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.5% 308th | 35.4% 18th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 122nd | 0.30 32nd |
The widest gap: Indiana's defense (49th) against E Illinois's offense (327th), of 365 teams.
First half
Indiana led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 6.2 points and the total by 5.6.
- At halftime
- E Illinois 23, Indiana 44
- Projected halftime score
- E Illinois 23, Indiana 38
- First-half margin
- Indiana by 14.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 61.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
E Illinois
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin DavenportG | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaden MillerG | 22 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Daniel NtambweF | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Demar BurtonF | 19 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Andrew AustinF | 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Tanner VogelC | 19 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1 |
| Jayden WrightG | 18 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Shia FrancisG | 14 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Gavin WelchF | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Indiana
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aiden SherrellF | 25 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Markus BurtonG | 24 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Jaeden MustafG | 24 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Bryce LindsayG | 24 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Darren HarrisG | 23 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Samet YigitogluC | 18 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| Trent SisleyF | 16 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Trevor ManhertzF | 15 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Sam AlexisF | 15 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 |