N Illinois at Bellarmine
Saturday, November 14, 2026, 2:00 PM ET at Knights Hall. N Illinois our rank 336 · 2-2; Bellarmine our rank 293 · 1-3.
Who will win N Illinois vs Bellarmine?
The model gives Bellarmine a 69% chance to beat Northern Illinois, with a projected score of Bellarmine 81, N Illinois 75.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.8% of the time in 15,721 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellarmine | |||||
| DoyleG · 30 min | 13.3 | 3.8 | 4.3 | 15+ 39% | |
| GoodinG · 27 min | 10.0 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 10+ 48% | |
| DonaldF · 28 min | 9.9 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 10+ 48% | |
| WasslerF · 20 min | 8.7 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 10+ 38% | |
| N Illinois | |||||
| Douglas Jr.G · 28 min | 15.2 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 15+ 50% | |
| WeisbrodG · 29 min | 13.2 | 3.3 | 4.8 | 15+ 38% | |
| PoliteG · 25 min | 7.8 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 10+ 32% | |
| GrossF · 21 min | 7.3 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 5+ 67% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
N Illinois 2-2LLWW
- Nov 11W 82-43vs Clarke
- Nov 7W 81-76at DaytonCovered +19.5 · Over 147.5
- Nov 5L 75-94at TulsaDidn't cover +14.5 · Over 154.5
- Nov 2L 87-89vs Grambling
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 81.2 and allowing 75.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 0 under
Bellarmine 1-3LLLW
- Nov 11W 99-82vs Franklin
- Nov 7L 73-80at Miami OHCovered +20.5 · Under 159.5
- Nov 5L 69-92at IndianaCovered +30.5 · Over 153.5
- Nov 2L 47-93at Vanderbilt
- Last 4
- 1–3, scoring 72.0 and allowing 86.8
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| N Illinois | Bellarmine | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 100.0 272nd | 104.6 171st |
| Points allowed per 100 | 117.1 357th | 117.5 359th |
| Possessions a game | 70.4 222nd | 69.5 307th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 52.8% 51st | 51.3% 126th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.8% 322nd | 52.5% 311th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.4% 102nd | 19.0% 289th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.2% 273rd | 30.1% 276th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.29 59th | 0.25 217th |
The widest gap: Bellarmine's offense (171st) against N Illinois's defense (357th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- N Illinois 35, Bellarmine 38
- First-half margin
- Bellarmine by 3.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 73.4
- Projected second half
- N Illinois 40, Bellarmine 43
- Second-half points, both teams
- 83.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- N Illinois, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 35.2 scored, 38.0 allowed
- Bellarmine, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 32.2 scored, 38.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
N Illinois
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max WeisbrodG | 29 | 13.2 | 3.3 | 4.8 | 2.8 |
| 15+ pts 38% · 5+ ast 51% · 3+ threes 48% | |||||
| David Douglas Jr.G | 28 | 15.2 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 15+ pts 50% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ threes 59% | |||||
| Trevor PoliteG | 25 | 7.8 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Brayden GrossF | 21 | 7.3 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 5+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 37% | |||||
| Mykolas IvanauskasF | 17 | 7.3 | 4.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 4+ reb 58% | |||||
| Bennett BasichG | 17 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 2+ reb 61% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Colin HardrickG | 16 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Nino Carter-SmithG | 15 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 2+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
Bellarmine
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler DoyleG | 30 | 13.3 | 3.8 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| 15+ pts 39% · 4+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Sam DonaldF | 28 | 9.9 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 3+ ast 53% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Kenyon GoodinG | 27 | 10.0 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 4+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Jacob WasslerF | 20 | 8.7 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 4+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Demarcus SurrattG | 18 | 5.7 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 3+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 35% | |||||
| Julius GizziG | 17 | 7.5 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 2+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Grant WhitakerG | 16 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 2+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 32% | |||||
| Evan HarrellF | 15 | 6.6 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 3+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 21% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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