N Illinois 87, Grambling 89
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 3:00 AM ET at Rock Hill Sports & Event Center. N Illinois our rank 336 · 2-2; Grambling our rank 325 · 1-1.
Who won N Illinois vs Grambling?
Final: Grambling 89, Northern Illinois 87. Before tip-off the model gave Grambling a 48% chance to win — an upset, with a projected margin of 0.6 points for Northern Illinois. Isaiah Miranda scored 29 for Grambling; Trevor Polite had 15 for N Illinois.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
N Illinois
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Grambling
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| N Illinois | Grambling | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 100.0 272nd | 98.8 291st |
| Points allowed per 100 | 117.1 357th | 115.0 339th |
| Possessions a game | 70.4 222nd | 71.2 133rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 52.8% 51st | 52.1% 81st |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.8% 322nd | 51.1% 226th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.4% 102nd | 17.0% 61st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.2% 273rd | 31.0% 231st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.29 59th | 0.26 164th |
The widest gap: N Illinois's offense (272nd) against Grambling's defense (339th), of 365 teams.
First half
Grambling led at the half, against the projection. The margin was off by 7.3 points and the total by 17.2.
- At halftime
- N Illinois 36, Grambling 43
- Projected halftime score
- N Illinois 31, Grambling 31
- First-half margin
- N Illinois by 0.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 61.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
N Illinois
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor PoliteG | 31 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Max WeisbrodG | 31 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| David Douglas Jr.G | 30 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Colin HardrickG | 22 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Bennett BasichG | 20 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Brayden GrossF | 18 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Nino Carter-SmithG | 18 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Keller HansonG | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Tolu SamuelsF | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Grambling
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwayne PierceG | 31 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 1 |
| Isaiah HowardG | 31 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Brandon HardyG | 29 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Antoine ShannonG | 29 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah MirandaF | 22 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 4 |
| Antonio ShannonG | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Chancellor PerkinsG | 16 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Mekhi FittsF | 15 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Hassan WashingtonF | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |