Grand Canyon v Saint Louis
Tuesday, November 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET at Acrisure Arena. Grand Canyon our rank 70 · 3-0; Saint Louis our rank 35 · 3-0.
Who will win Grand Canyon vs Saint Louis?
The model gives Saint Louis a 70% chance to beat Grand Canyon, with a projected score of Saint Louis 85, Grand Canyon 79.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.8% of the time in 15,721 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Louis | |||||
| GreenG · 29 min | 14.9 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 15+ 48% | |
| McCottryG · 23 min | 13.2 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 15+ 38% | |
| SharmaF · 26 min | 12.0 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 10+ 62% | |
| JonesG · 28 min | 11.9 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 10+ 62% | |
| Grand Canyon | |||||
| HenleyG · 26 min | 16.0 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 15+ 55% | |
| WilliamsG · 26 min | 13.7 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 15+ 41% | |
| DarlingG · 25 min | 9.7 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 10+ 46% | |
| BarkleyF · 19 min | 9.2 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 10+ 42% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Trey Green: Grand Canyon 41%Saint Louis 59%
The white mark is the call with him: Saint Louis 70%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Saint Louis without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Louis | ||||
| Trey Green | 3.3 | 59% | −11 | 81–84 |
| Kellen Thames | 3.2 | 59% | −11 | 81–84 |
| Amari McCottry | 3.1 | 60% | −10 | 81–84 |
| Quentin Jones | 2.9 | 60% | −10 | 81–84 |
| Grand Canyon | ||||
| Jaden Henley | 2.8 | 78% | +8 | 78–87 |
| Dylan Darling | 2.5 | 77% | +7 | 78–87 |
| Makaih Williams | 2.4 | 77% | +7 | 78–87 |
| Tre Holloman | 1.7 | 75% | +5 | 79–86 |
Change is in Saint Louis's win chance, in points. Scores read Grand Canyon, then Saint Louis. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Grand Canyon 3-0WWW
- Nov 11W 99-71vs Cal PolyCovered −18.5 · Under 181.5
- Nov 7W 99-81vs BethuneDidn't cover −22.5 · Over 155.5
- Nov 2W 103-79vs Texas Southern
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 100.3 and allowing 77.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Saint Louis 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 125-63vs N KentuckyCovered −23.5 · Over 168.5
- Nov 6W 90-84vs MissouriCovered +2.5 · Over 161.5
- Nov 2W 92-67vs Lehigh
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 102.3 and allowing 71.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Grand Canyon | Saint Louis | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 113.4 65th | 118.0 24th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 101.8 79th | 99.2 47th |
| Possessions a game | 72.7 29th | 73.1 18th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.5% 108th | 56.7% 1st |
| Opponents' shooting | 51.0% 221st | 47.0% 17th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 16.9% 58th | 16.4% 22nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.4% 144th | 28.9% 327th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 143rd | 0.26 194th |
The widest gap: Saint Louis's offense (24th) against Grand Canyon's defense (79th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Grand Canyon 37, Saint Louis 40
- First-half margin
- Saint Louis by 3.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 77.3
- Projected second half
- Grand Canyon 42, Saint Louis 45
- Second-half points, both teams
- 87.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Grand Canyon, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 47.0 scored, 36.3 allowed
- Saint Louis, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 51.0 scored, 31.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Grand Canyon
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makaih WilliamsG | 26 | 13.7 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| 15+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 43% | |||||
| Jaden HenleyG | 26 | 16.0 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 62% | |||||
| Dylan DarlingG | 25 | 9.7 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 56% · 3+ ast 57% | |||||
| Tre HollomanG | 21 | 7.6 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 2+ reb 43% · 3+ ast 54% | |||||
| Amarion DickersonF | 20 | 7.7 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 2+ ast 48% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Tyler BehrendF | 19 | 7.6 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 5+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 31% | |||||
| Blake BarkleyF | 19 | 9.2 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 4+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Efe DemirelC | 14 | 5.4 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 4+ reb 49% | |||||
Saint Louis
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey GreenG | 29 | 14.9 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.9 |
| 15+ pts 48% · 3+ ast 44% · 3+ threes 49% | |||||
| Quentin JonesG | 28 | 11.9 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 4+ reb 42% · 5+ ast 45% | |||||
| Ishan SharmaF | 26 | 12.0 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 2+ ast 48% · 2+ threes 55% | |||||
| Amari McCottryG | 23 | 13.2 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 |
| 15+ pts 38% · 5+ reb 52% · 3+ ast 55% | |||||
| Alon MichaeliF | 19 | 8.8 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 6+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Kellen ThamesG | 17 | 11.0 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 5+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 44% | |||||
| Jax KerrF | 10 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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