Texas Southern 79, Grand Canyon 103
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 9:00 PM ET at Global Credit Union Arena. Texas Southern our rank 347 · 1-2; Grand Canyon our rank 70 · 3-0.
Who won Texas Southern vs Grand Canyon?
Final: Grand Canyon 103, Texas Southern 79. Before tip-off the model gave Grand Canyon a 98% chance to win, with a projected margin of 25.5 points for Grand Canyon. Jaden Henley scored 22 for Grand Canyon; Karris Bilal had 15 for Texas Southern.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Jaden Henley: Texas Southern 3%Grand Canyon 97%
The white mark is the call with him: Grand Canyon 98%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Grand Canyon without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Canyon | ||||
| Jaden Henley | 2.8 | 97% | −1 | 56–79 |
| Dylan Darling | 2.5 | 97% | −1 | 56–79 |
| Makaih Williams | 2.4 | 97% | −1 | 56–79 |
| Tre Holloman | 1.7 | 97% | −1 | 55–79 |
Change is in Grand Canyon's win chance, in points. Scores read Texas Southern, then Grand Canyon. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Texas Southern
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Grand Canyon
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Texas Southern | Grand Canyon | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 96.4 320th | 113.4 65th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 115.4 343rd | 101.8 79th |
| Possessions a game | 72.3 49th | 72.7 29th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.4% 319th | 51.5% 108th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.1% 291st | 51.0% 221st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.2% 83rd | 16.9% 58th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.3% 267th | 32.4% 144th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.29 67th | 0.27 143rd |
The widest gap: Grand Canyon's offense (65th) against Texas Southern's defense (343rd), of 365 teams.
First half
Grand Canyon led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 3.0 points and the total by 21.9.
- At halftime
- Texas Southern 37, Grand Canyon 48
- Projected halftime score
- Texas Southern 25, Grand Canyon 39
- First-half margin
- Grand Canyon by 14.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Texas Southern
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kehlin FarooqG | 37 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Jason KimbroughG | 30 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Ben VungoG | 26 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Karris BilalG | 25 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Ahmed NedalG | 18 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Xander WedlowF | 15 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Cameron PattersonG | 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Trey LewisG | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Sayed SayedG | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Grand Canyon
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan DarlingG | 28 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| Amarion DickersonF | 25 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Tre HollomanG | 23 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| Jaden HenleyG | 21 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Blake BarkleyF | 19 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Omaha BiliewF | 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Jaden ZimmermanG | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Efe DemirelC | 16 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler BehrendF | 15 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 |