Navy 39, G Washington 91
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:30 PM ET at Charles E. Smith Center. Navy our rank 271 · 3-1; G Washington our rank 87 · 3-0.
Who won Navy vs G Washington?
Final: George Washington 91, Navy 39. Before tip-off the model gave George Washington a 72% chance to win, with a projected margin of 7.3 points for George Washington. Felix Kossaras scored 14 for G Washington; David Burnett had 11 for Navy.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Dylan James: Navy 35%G Washington 65%
The white mark is the call with him: G Washington 72%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | G Washington without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G Washington | ||||
| Dylan James | 2.4 | 65% | −7 | 65–69 |
| Jean Aranguren | 2.1 | 66% | −6 | 64–70 |
| Terrance Arceneaux | 1.8 | 67% | −5 | 64–70 |
| Andrija Vukovic | 1.3 | 69% | −3 | 64–70 |
Change is in G Washington's win chance, in points. Scores read Navy, then G Washington. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Navy
No games yet this season: this is its first.
G Washington
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Navy | G Washington | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 97.0 317th | 105.6 150th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 108.5 184th | 97.3 34th |
| Possessions a game | 69.7 292nd | 71.2 133rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.1% 352nd | 51.0% 146th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.9% 327th | 45.6% 3rd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 20.2% 347th | 18.5% 239th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.1% 222nd | 31.6% 191st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.26 155th | 0.27 139th |
The widest gap: G Washington's defense (34th) against Navy's offense (317th), of 365 teams.
First half
G Washington led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 16.0 points and the total by 5.2.
- At halftime
- Navy 24, G Washington 44
- Projected halftime score
- Navy 29, G Washington 33
- First-half margin
- G Washington by 4.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Navy
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinwoo KimG | 33 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Cam ColeG | 29 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| David BurnettG | 28 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| Jerry Ashley Jr.F | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Luke MayberryG | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Justin NordinG | 19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Drew TimmonsF | 16 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sean GriffinF | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Akim IscandariG | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
G Washington
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omari WitherspoonG | 21 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Jean ArangurenG | 21 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| Felix KossarasG | 21 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| Dylan JamesF | 20 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Lovro UrbihaF | 19 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Terrance ArceneauxG | 19 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Ryder FrostF | 19 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Promis N'LanduG | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Andrew PhillipsG | 19 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |