Harvard at G Washington
Friday, November 13, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Charles E. Smith Center. Harvard our rank 138 · 2-1; G Washington our rank 87 · 3-0.
Who will win Harvard vs G Washington?
The model gives George Washington a 81% chance to beat Harvard, with a projected score of G Washington 72, Harvard 62. The spread is G Washington −12.5, with an over/under of 133.5. The model makes it G Washington by 10.4, 2.1 points toward Harvard, and projects 134 total points.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 84.9% of the time in 12,246 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G Washington | |||||
| ArangurenG · 24 min | 10.2 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 10+ 50% | |
| JamesF · 25 min | 9.0 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 10+ 41% | |
| UrbihaF · 23 min | 8.7 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 10+ 38% | |
| N'LanduG · 17 min | 7.0 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5+ 64% | |
| Harvard | |||||
| Batties IIF · 34 min | 12.9 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 15+ 36% | |
| BarbourG · 32 min | 10.2 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 10+ 50% | |
| HintonG · 30 min | 10.1 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 10+ 49% | |
| SingletonG · 24 min | 7.7 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 10+ 31% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Dylan James: Harvard 25%G Washington 75%
The white mark is the call with him: G Washington 81%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | G Washington without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G Washington | ||||
| Dylan James | 2.4 | 75% | −6 | 63–71 |
| Jean Aranguren | 2.1 | 76% | −5 | 63–71 |
| Terrance Arceneaux | 1.8 | 77% | −4 | 63–71 |
| Andrija Vukovic | 1.3 | 78% | −3 | 63–72 |
| Harvard | ||||
| Thomas Batties II | 1.7 | 85% | +4 | 61–73 |
| Robert Hinton | 1.6 | 85% | +4 | 61–73 |
| Tey Barbour | 1.3 | 84% | +3 | 61–73 |
Change is in G Washington's win chance, in points. Scores read Harvard, then G Washington. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
| Spread | Over/under | |
|---|---|---|
| Line | G Washington −12.5 | 133.5 |
| Model | G Washington −10.4 | 134.2 |
| Gap | 2.1 toward Harvard | 0.7 higher |
A gap is a difference of opinion, not a tip. When the model and the line have been 2 or more points apart, the model's side has covered 51.6% of 3,317 games. This season the model's side has covered 163 of 337 spreads (48%); over 11,507 games in the last two seasons it covered 50.6%. It takes about 52.4% to break even at standard odds. Scorecard
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Harvard 2-1WWL
- Nov 10L 70-74at NortheasternDidn't cover −1.5 · Over 143.5
- Nov 8W 63-47at Chicago
- Nov 2W 73-45vs MIT
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 68.7 and allowing 55.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Harvard | G Washington | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 101.7 232nd | 105.6 150th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 103.2 99th | 97.3 34th |
| Possessions a game | 68.5 354th | 71.2 133rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.0% 221st | 51.0% 146th |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.8% 62nd | 45.6% 3rd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.1% 72nd | 18.5% 239th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.1% 276th | 31.6% 191st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 235th | 0.27 139th |
The widest gap: G Washington's defense (34th) against Harvard's offense (232nd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Harvard 29, G Washington 34
- First-half margin
- G Washington by 5.7
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.0
- Projected second half
- Harvard 33, G Washington 38
- Second-half points, both teams
- 71.2
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Harvard, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 31.0 scored, 23.7 allowed
- G Washington, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 36.0 scored, 24.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Harvard
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Batties IIF | 34 | 12.9 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 15+ pts 36% · 5+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 57% | |||||
| Tey BarbourG | 32 | 10.2 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 1.8 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 5+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Ben EisendrathG | 31 | 5.5 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 3+ reb 56% · 3+ ast 58% | |||||
| Robert HintonG | 30 | 10.1 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 4+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Jason SingletonG | 24 | 7.7 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 2+ ast 48% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Julian AdigunC | 16 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 4+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 18% | |||||
| Luca Ace-NasteskiF | 14 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 3+ reb 40% | |||||
| Xavier NesbittG | 10 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| 2+ reb 22% · 1+ threes 23% | |||||
G Washington
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan JamesF | 25 | 9.0 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 7+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 21% | |||||
| Jean ArangurenG | 24 | 10.2 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 4+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Omari WitherspoonG | 24 | 5.8 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 3+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Lovro UrbihaF | 23 | 8.7 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 5+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Felix KossarasG | 21 | 6.5 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
| Terrance ArceneauxG | 19 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Promis N'LanduG | 17 | 7.0 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 2+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Andrew PhillipsG | 16 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 2+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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