G Washington v UAB
Friday, November 20, 2026, 2:00 PM ET at Colonial Hall. G Washington our rank 87 · 3-0; UAB our rank 184 · 2-1.
Who will win G Washington vs UAB?
The model gives George Washington a 83% chance to beat UAB, with a projected score of G Washington 79, UAB 68.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 84.9% of the time in 12,246 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G Washington | |||||
| ArangurenG · 24 min | 11.0 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 10+ 55% | |
| JamesF · 25 min | 9.6 | 7.2 | 0.9 | 10+ 45% | |
| UrbihaF · 23 min | 9.3 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 10+ 43% | |
| N'LanduG · 17 min | 7.5 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 5+ 68% | |
| UAB | |||||
| JonesG · 28 min | 13.6 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 15+ 40% | |
| FernandezG · 26 min | 12.8 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 15+ 36% | |
| DuvalG · 19 min | 9.1 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 10+ 41% | |
| ElyzeeG · 27 min | 8.3 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 10+ 36% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Dylan James: G Washington 77%UAB 23%
The white mark is the call with him: G Washington 83%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | G Washington without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G Washington | ||||
| Dylan James | 2.4 | 77% | −6 | 78–70 |
| Jean Aranguren | 2.1 | 78% | −5 | 78–69 |
| Terrance Arceneaux | 1.8 | 79% | −4 | 78–69 |
| Andrija Vukovic | 1.3 | 80% | −3 | 78–69 |
| UAB | ||||
| Deuce Jones | 0.9 | 85% | +2 | 80–68 |
| T.J. Caldwell | 0.5 | 85% | +2 | 79–68 |
Change is in G Washington's win chance, in points. Scores read G Washington, then UAB. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| G Washington | UAB | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 105.6 150th | 104.2 176th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 97.3 34th | 109.9 222nd |
| Possessions a game | 71.2 133rd | 71.8 79th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.0% 146th | 48.1% 329th |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.6% 3rd | 51.8% 272nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.5% 239th | 18.7% 255th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.6% 191st | 32.6% 128th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 139th | 0.29 56th |
The widest gap: G Washington's defense (34th) against UAB's offense (176th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- G Washington 38, UAB 32
- First-half margin
- G Washington by 5.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 69.2
- Projected second half
- G Washington 42, UAB 37
- Second-half points, both teams
- 78.2
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- G Washington, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 36.0 scored, 24.3 allowed
- UAB, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 39.3 scored, 33.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
G Washington
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan JamesF | 25 | 9.6 | 7.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 7+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 23% | |||||
| Jean ArangurenG | 24 | 11.0 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Omari WitherspoonG | 24 | 6.2 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 3+ ast 42% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Lovro UrbihaF | 23 | 9.3 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 5+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Felix KossarasG | 21 | 6.9 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 3+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
| Terrance ArceneauxG | 19 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Promis N'LanduG | 17 | 7.5 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 2+ reb 60% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Andrew PhillipsG | 16 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 2+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
UAB
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deuce JonesG | 28 | 13.6 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 49% · 3+ ast 49% | |||||
| Jeremy ElyzeeG | 27 | 8.3 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 5+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 31% | |||||
| Justyn FernandezG | 26 | 12.8 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 36% · 3+ reb 59% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Salim LondonG | 25 | 6.4 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 2+ ast 55% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| T.J. CaldwellG | 20 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
| Elijah DuvalG | 19 | 9.1 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 46% · 3+ ast 46% | |||||
| Aleks AlstonF | 15 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 4+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
| Matt MboleC | 13 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 23% · 3+ reb 57% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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