Georgia at Georgia Tech
Friday, November 20, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at McCamish Pavilion. Georgia our rank 57 · 3-0; Georgia Tech our rank 108 · 3-0.
Who will win Georgia vs Georgia Tech?
The model gives Georgia a 66% chance to beat Georgia Tech, with a projected score of Georgia 82, Georgia Tech 78.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.8% of the time in 15,721 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | |||||
| CainG · 32 min | 14.7 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 15+ 47% | |
| CatchingsF · 26 min | 12.7 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 15+ 35% | |
| MillenderG · 29 min | 12.1 | 2.6 | 3.7 | 10+ 63% | |
| StaggF · 23 min | 9.1 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 10+ 42% | |
| Georgia Tech | |||||
| GarlandG · 29 min | 15.3 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 15+ 51% | |
| WhitlockG · 27 min | 14.1 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 15+ 43% | |
| JordanF · 29 min | 13.5 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 15+ 40% | |
| CraftG · 26 min | 9.5 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 10+ 45% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Blue Cain: Georgia 53%Georgia Tech 47%
The white mark is the call with him: Georgia 66%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Georgia without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | ||||
| Blue Cain | 3.5 | 53% | −13 | 81–80 |
| Marcus Millender | 2.7 | 56% | −10 | 81–79 |
| Kanon Catchings | 2.5 | 57% | −9 | 81–79 |
| James Scott | 2.4 | 57% | −9 | 81–79 |
| Georgia Tech | ||||
| Colby Garland | 2.3 | 73% | +7 | 84–77 |
| Jackson Fields | 1.7 | 71% | +5 | 83–77 |
| Nasir Whitlock | 1.3 | 70% | +4 | 83–77 |
| Victor Valdes | 1.2 | 69% | +3 | 83–77 |
Change is in Georgia's win chance, in points. Scores read Georgia, then Georgia Tech. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Georgia 3-0WWW
- Nov 9W 80-72vs FGCUDidn't cover −22.5 · Under 163.5
- Nov 6W 91-77vs PresbyterianDidn't cover −24.5 · Over 157.5
- Nov 2W 78-62vs NC Central
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 83.0 and allowing 70.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Georgia Tech 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 85-71vs E KentuckyDidn't cover −15.5 · Under 165.5
- Nov 6W 95-83vs GA SouthernDidn't cover −17.5 · Over 159.5
- Nov 3W 75-55vs Hampton
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 85.0 and allowing 69.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Georgia | Georgia Tech | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 116.3 33rd | 107.0 125th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 102.0 86th | 102.7 93rd |
| Possessions a game | 72.2 55th | 73.1 18th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.3% 267th | 49.4% 255th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.4% 305th | 48.8% 61st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 15.7% 8th | 19.2% 300th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.3% 93rd | 32.9% 112th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.26 160th | 0.31 24th |
The widest gap: Georgia's offense (33rd) against Georgia Tech's defense (93rd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Georgia 39, Georgia Tech 36
- First-half margin
- Georgia by 2.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 75.2
- Projected second half
- Georgia 44, Georgia Tech 42
- Second-half points, both teams
- 85.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Georgia, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 43.7 scored, 35.0 allowed
- Georgia Tech, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 44.7 scored, 34.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Georgia
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue CainG | 32 | 14.7 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| 15+ pts 47% · 5+ reb 52% · 2+ threes 39% | |||||
| Marcus MillenderG | 29 | 12.1 | 2.6 | 3.7 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 45% · 4+ ast 48% | |||||
| James ScottF | 28 | 6.3 | 6.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 7+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 25% | |||||
| Kanon CatchingsF | 26 | 12.7 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 35% · 5+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Kareem StaggF | 23 | 9.1 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Freddie Dilione VG | 20 | 8.1 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 2+ ast 53% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Brady DunlapF | 15 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 2+ reb 55% · 2+ threes 39% | |||||
| Donovan Williams Jr.G | 13 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 31% | |||||
Georgia Tech
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby GarlandG | 29 | 15.3 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 0.5 |
| 15+ pts 51% · 3+ reb 58% · 4+ ast 47% | |||||
| Tylis JordanF | 29 | 13.5 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| 15+ pts 40% · 6+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Nasir WhitlockG | 27 | 14.1 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| 15+ pts 43% · 4+ reb 56% · 2+ threes 53% | |||||
| Kam CraftG | 26 | 9.5 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 2.1 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 56% | |||||
| Jackson FieldsF | 24 | 6.9 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 6+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 31% | |||||
| Victor ValdesF | 17 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Cole KirouacC | 15 | 2.9 | 4.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 24% · 4+ reb 57% | |||||
| Kaiden BaileyG | 10 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 17% · 2+ reb 30% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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