NC Central 62, Georgia 78
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:30 PM ET at Stegeman Coliseum. NC Central our rank 338 · 0-3; Georgia our rank 57 · 3-0.
Who won NC Central vs Georgia?
Final: Georgia 78, North Carolina Central 62. Before tip-off the model gave Georgia a >99% chance to win, with a projected margin of 37.6 points for Georgia. Kanon Catchings scored 16 for Georgia; Cristian Sanon had 19 for NC Central.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Blue Cain: NC Central <1%Georgia >99%
The white mark is the call with him: Georgia >99%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Georgia without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | ||||
| Blue Cain | 3.5 | >99% | 0 | 53–87 |
| Marcus Millender | 2.7 | >99% | 0 | 53–88 |
| Kanon Catchings | 2.5 | >99% | 0 | 53–88 |
| James Scott | 2.4 | >99% | 0 | 53–88 |
Change is in Georgia's win chance, in points. Scores read NC Central, then Georgia. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…
Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
NC Central
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Georgia
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| NC Central | Georgia | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 92.9 354th | 116.3 33rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 110.3 237th | 102.0 86th |
| Possessions a game | 69.7 292nd | 72.2 55th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.9% 293rd | 49.3% 267th |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.6% 119th | 52.4% 305th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.1% 190th | 15.7% 8th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.6% 260th | 33.3% 93rd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 292nd | 0.26 160th |
The widest gap: Georgia's defense (86th) against NC Central's offense (354th), of 365 teams.
First half
Georgia led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 7.7 points and the total by 3.2.
- At halftime
- NC Central 28, Georgia 41
- Projected halftime score
- NC Central 23, Georgia 43
- First-half margin
- Georgia by 20.7
- First-half points, both teams
- 65.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
NC Central
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian SanonG | 34 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| Trey BrownG | 34 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| Darius KaneG | 22 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| Tyler MasonF | 22 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Maurice VasselF | 18 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah BuckleyG | 18 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Duor DuorF | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jozohn PriceF | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Ryan ArcheyG | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Georgia
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue CainG | 31 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Marcus MillenderG | 30 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Kanon CatchingsF | 28 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| James ScottF | 24 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Freddie Dilione VG | 24 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Brady DunlapF | 21 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Donovan Williams Jr.G | 18 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Andrew OsasuyiF | 11 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Mading KuanyF | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 |