Who won Alcorn St vs Ole Miss?
Final: Ole Miss 99, Alcorn State 58. Before tip-off the model gave Ole Miss a >99% chance to win, with a projected margin of 32.4 points for Ole Miss. Adam Clark scored 17 for Ole Miss; Calvin Sirmans III had 20 for Alcorn St.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Adam Clark: Alcorn St 1%Ole Miss 99%
The white mark is the call with him: Ole Miss >99%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Ole Miss without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ole Miss | ||||
| Adam Clark | 3.8 | 99% | −1 | 53–82 |
| Patton Pinkins | 3.1 | 99% | −1 | 53–82 |
| Ilias Kamardine | 3.0 | 99% | −1 | 53–82 |
| Santiago Trouet | 2.7 | 99% | −1 | 52–82 |
Change is in Ole Miss's win chance, in points. Scores read Alcorn St, then Ole Miss. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…
Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Alcorn St
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Ole Miss
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Alcorn St | Ole Miss | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 95.2 336th | 115.8 44th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 120.2 365th | 93.6 15th |
| Possessions a game | 71.4 111th | 71.1 143rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.4% 264th | 52.6% 57th |
| Opponents' shooting | 53.4% 340th | 49.4% 104th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 20.1% 340th | 16.4% 25th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.7% 74th | 31.5% 198th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 290th | 0.24 288th |
The widest gap: Ole Miss's defense (15th) against Alcorn St's offense (336th), of 365 teams.
First half
Ole Miss led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 3.2 points and the total by 19.9.
- At halftime
- Alcorn St 31, Ole Miss 52
- Projected halftime score
- Alcorn St 23, Ole Miss 40
- First-half margin
- Ole Miss by 17.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Alcorn St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Sirmans IIIG | 24 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| Jahseem FeltonG | 24 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Bobby CannonF | 24 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Saxby SunderlandG | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Josh PowellG | 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Braylhan ThomasG | 14 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Adam TokpahC | 14 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Christian RichardsonC | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayan WalkerF | 11 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
Ole Miss
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilias KamardineG | 28 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Adam ClarkG | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| Patton PinkinsG | 24 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Santiago TrouetF | 22 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 1 |
| Corey StephensonG | 18 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben HenshallG | 17 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Roman SiulepaF | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Zach DayG | 12 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Christian BrownF | 10 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 |