Colgate 76, Washington 90
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 10:00 PM ET at Alaska Airlines Arena. Colgate our rank 216 · 0-3; Washington our rank 99 · 2-0.
Who won Colgate vs Washington?
Final: Washington 90, Colgate 76. Before tip-off the model gave Washington a 92% chance to win, with a projected margin of 17.4 points for Washington. Nikola Dzepina scored 27 for Washington; Andrew Alekseyenko had 25 for Colgate.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without LeJuan Watts: Colgate 12%Washington 88%
The white mark is the call with him: Washington 92%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Washington without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | ||||
| LeJuan Watts | 2.7 | 88% | −4 | 61–76 |
| Ryan Beasley | 1.6 | 90% | −2 | 60–76 |
| Wesley Yates III | 1.5 | 90% | −2 | 60–76 |
| Tayshawn Comer | 1.4 | 90% | −2 | 60–76 |
| Colgate | ||||
| Andrew Alekseyenko | 1.1 | 93% | +1 | 59–78 |
Change is in Washington's win chance, in points. Scores read Colgate, then Washington. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Colgate
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Washington
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Colgate | Washington | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 103.5 192nd | 110.6 87th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 110.5 243rd | 104.8 112th |
| Possessions a game | 70.9 171st | 70.5 215th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.0% 218th | 50.4% 196th |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.4% 178th | 50.8% 202nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.3% 93rd | 18.2% 202nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.5% 85th | 32.6% 126th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 345th | 0.27 132nd |
The widest gap: Washington's offense (87th) against Colgate's defense (243rd), of 365 teams.
First half
Washington led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 2.6 points and the total by 18.9.
- At halftime
- Colgate 38, Washington 45
- Projected halftime score
- Colgate 27, Washington 37
- First-half margin
- Washington by 9.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Colgate
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew AlekseyenkoF | 33 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 2 |
| Parker JonesG | 32 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Sam WrightF | 27 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Blake ForrestG | 27 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Kingston McKoyG | 22 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Josh AhayereG | 21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Isaiah SkinnG | 13 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Ethan BrownF | 11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Ayomi OdetoyinboF | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Washington
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan BeasleyG | 36 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| LeJuan WattsG | 32 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Nikola DzepinaF | 30 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| Wesley Yates IIIG | 30 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Tayshawn ComerG | 25 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Lathan SommervilleC | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Steele VentersG | 15 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Parker FriedrichsenG | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Jasir RencherF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |