Who will win Colgate vs Delaware?
The model gives Colgate a 53% chance to beat Delaware, with a projected score of Colgate 72, Delaware 71.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Colgate | |||||
| AlekseyenkoF · 30 min | 18.8 | 8.9 | 3.4 | 20+ 43% | |
| WrightF · 27 min | 13.2 | 4.7 | 0.5 | 15+ 38% | |
| JonesG · 29 min | 10.9 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 10+ 55% | |
| AhayereG · 26 min | 10.5 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 10+ 52% | |
 Delaware | |||||
| Bailey IIIG · 32 min | 16.7 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 15+ 59% | |
| NzehF · 30 min | 12.0 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 10+ 62% | |
| PetronioG · 28 min | 11.4 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 10+ 58% | |
| Harris-SmithG · 32 min | 8.9 | 6.1 | 4.3 | 10+ 40% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Andrew Alekseyenko: Colgate 48%Delaware 52%
The white mark is the call with him: Colgate 53%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Colgate without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colgate | ||||
| Andrew Alekseyenko | 1.1 | 48% | −5 | 72–72 |
| Delaware | ||||
| Chuck Bailey III | 0.7 | 55% | +2 | 72–71 |
Change is in Colgate's win chance, in points. Scores read Colgate, then Delaware. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Colgate 0-3LLL
- Nov 11L 59-90at St John'sDidn't cover +29.5 · Under 158.5
- Nov 7L 74-77at DrexelDidn't cover −1.5 · Over 140.5
- Nov 2L 76-90at Washington
- Last 3
- 0–3, scoring 69.7 and allowing 85.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Delaware 1-2WLL
- Nov 11L 61-71vs James MadisonDidn't cover +3.5 · Under 150.5
- Nov 6L 64-73at WisconsinCovered +24.5 · Under 155.5
- Nov 2W 105-44vs Notre Dame (MD)
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 76.7 and allowing 62.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Colgate | Delaware | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 103.5 192nd | 97.6 307th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 110.5 243rd | 109.2 198th |
| Possessions a game | 70.9 171st | 68.9 337th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.0% 218th | 50.0% 222nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.4% 178th | 49.2% 85th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.3% 93rd | 17.6% 130th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.5% 85th | 27.3% 356th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 345th | 0.23 315th |
The widest gap: Colgate's defense (243rd) against Delaware's offense (307th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Colgate 34, Delaware 33
- First-half margin
- Colgate by 0.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 67.3
- Projected second half
- Colgate 38, Delaware 38
- Second-half points, both teams
- 76.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Colgate, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 31.7 scored, 41.0 allowed
- Delaware, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 36.3 scored, 28.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Colgate
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew AlekseyenkoF | 30 | 18.8 | 8.9 | 3.4 | 1.7 |
| 20+ pts 43% · 9+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 46% | |||||
| Parker JonesG | 29 | 10.9 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 5+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
| Sam WrightF | 27 | 13.2 | 4.7 | 0.5 | 1.4 |
| 15+ pts 38% · 5+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 39% | |||||
| Josh AhayereG | 26 | 10.5 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 60% | |||||
| Blake ForrestG | 24 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 3+ ast 49% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Kingston McKoyG | 20 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 48% | |||||
| Jayden HarringtonG | 15 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 2+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Isaiah SkinnG | 11 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 25% · 2+ reb 35% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
Delaware
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Bailey IIIG | 32 | 16.7 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| 15+ pts 59% · 2+ ast 49% · 2+ threes 51% | |||||
| DeShawn Harris-SmithG | 32 | 8.9 | 6.1 | 4.3 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 6+ reb 54% · 5+ ast 42% | |||||
| Kachi NzehF | 30 | 12.0 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 6+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Nick PetronioG | 28 | 11.4 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 58% · 2+ reb 58% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Jameel BrownG | 18 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 2+ reb 45% · 2+ threes 35% | |||||
| Devin DinkinsG | 16 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 31% · 2+ ast 37% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Steven SolanoC | 14 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 31% · 4+ reb 48% | |||||
| Alex KazaneckiG | 12 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 2+ reb 34% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…