Delaware at CSU Northridge
Friday, November 20, 2026, 6:00 PM ET at Premier America Credit Union Arena. Delaware our rank 273 · 1-2; CSU Northridge our rank 186 · 1-2.
Who will win Delaware vs CSU Northridge?
The model gives Cal State Northridge a 74% chance to beat Delaware, with a projected score of CSU Northridge 77, Delaware 70.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSU Northridge | |||||
| BallewG · 29 min | 16.7 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 15+ 59% | |
| DavisG · 31 min | 13.9 | 3.9 | 6.9 | 15+ 42% | |
| OmotF · 28 min | 10.9 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 10+ 55% | |
| HicksG · 24 min | 10.6 | 5.8 | 0.9 | 10+ 53% | |
| Delaware | |||||
| Bailey IIIG · 32 min | 16.0 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 15+ 55% | |
| NzehF · 29 min | 11.6 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 10+ 59% | |
| PetronioG · 28 min | 11.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 10+ 55% | |
| Harris-SmithG · 31 min | 8.5 | 5.9 | 4.0 | 10+ 37% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Josiah Davis: Delaware 29%CSU Northridge 71%
The white mark is the call with him: CSU Northridge 74%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | CSU Northridge without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSU Northridge | ||||
| Josiah Davis | 0.8 | 71% | −3 | 70–77 |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 0.8 | 72% | −2 | 70–77 |
| Delaware | ||||
| Chuck Bailey III | 0.7 | 76% | +2 | 70–77 |
Change is in CSU Northridge's win chance, in points. Scores read Delaware, then CSU Northridge. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Delaware 1-2WLL
- Nov 11L 61-71vs James MadisonDidn't cover +3.5 · Under 150.5
- Nov 6L 64-73at WisconsinCovered +24.5 · Under 155.5
- Nov 2W 105-44vs Notre Dame (MD)
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 76.7 and allowing 62.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
CSU Northridge 1-2LLW
- Nov 12W 108-69vs Grace (CA)
- Nov 6L 78-95at Kansas StDidn't cover +10.5 · Over 165.5
- Nov 4L 67-79at Wichita St
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 84.3 and allowing 81.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Delaware | CSU Northridge | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 97.6 307th | 101.7 235th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 109.2 198th | 107.7 167th |
| Possessions a game | 68.9 337th | 74.2 3rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.0% 222nd | 48.9% 292nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.2% 85th | 49.4% 101st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.6% 130th | 17.9% 161st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 27.3% 356th | 32.7% 119th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 315th | 0.26 179th |
The widest gap: CSU Northridge's defense (167th) against Delaware's offense (307th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Delaware 32, CSU Northridge 36
- First-half margin
- CSU Northridge by 4.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 68.9
- Projected second half
- Delaware 37, CSU Northridge 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 78.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Delaware, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 36.3 scored, 28.7 allowed
- CSU Northridge, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 42.0 scored, 47.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Delaware
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Bailey IIIG | 32 | 16.0 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 55% · 2+ ast 46% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| DeShawn Harris-SmithG | 31 | 8.5 | 5.9 | 4.0 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 6+ reb 50% · 4+ ast 55% | |||||
| Kachi NzehF | 29 | 11.6 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 59% · 6+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Nick PetronioG | 28 | 11.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 2+ reb 56% · 2+ threes 45% | |||||
| Jameel BrownG | 18 | 6.2 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 2+ reb 44% · 2+ threes 35% | |||||
| Devin DinkinsG | 16 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 31% · 2+ ast 36% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Steven SolanoC | 14 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 32% · 4+ reb 48% | |||||
| Alex KazaneckiG | 12 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 37% · 2+ reb 35% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
CSU Northridge
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah DavisG | 31 | 13.9 | 3.9 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 15+ pts 42% · 4+ reb 51% · 7+ ast 53% | |||||
| Mikah BallewG | 29 | 16.7 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 15+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 49% · 3+ threes 40% | |||||
| BJ OmotF | 28 | 10.9 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ threes 42% | |||||
| Brooklyn HicksG | 24 | 10.6 | 5.8 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 6+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 64% | |||||
| Jael MartinF | 19 | 4.5 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 4+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 20% | |||||
| Keziah EkissiG | 18 | 6.4 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Emmanuel StephenC | 11 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 24% · 3+ reb 54% | |||||
| Daniel CulbersonG | 10 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 24% · 2+ reb 38% · 2+ ast 31% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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