Utah Tech at Washington
Thursday, November 19, 2026, 9:00 PM ET at Alaska Airlines Arena. Utah Tech our rank 283 · 1-2; Washington our rank 99 · 2-0.
Who will win Utah Tech vs Washington?
The model gives Washington a 94% chance to beat Utah Tech, with a projected score of Washington 87, Utah Tech 70.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | |||||
| WattsG · 28 min | 13.4 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 15+ 39% | |
| BeasleyG · 32 min | 12.9 | 5.0 | 4.6 | 15+ 36% | |
| DzepinaF · 23 min | 10.0 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 10+ 48% | |
| Yates IIIG · 26 min | 9.9 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 10+ 47% | |
| Utah Tech | |||||
| PotterF · 26 min | 14.4 | 7.2 | 1.7 | 15+ 45% | |
| GibsonG · 25 min | 14.2 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 15+ 44% | |
| RodriguezG · 23 min | 10.1 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 10+ 49% | |
| Brown Jr.G · 27 min | 9.5 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 10+ 45% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without LeJuan Watts: Utah Tech 9%Washington 91%
The white mark is the call with him: Washington 94%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Washington without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | ||||
| LeJuan Watts | 2.7 | 91% | −3 | 71–86 |
| Ryan Beasley | 1.6 | 92% | −2 | 70–86 |
| Wesley Yates III | 1.5 | 92% | −2 | 70–87 |
| Tayshawn Comer | 1.4 | 92% | −2 | 70–87 |
| Utah Tech | ||||
| Ethan Potter | 1.5 | 95% | +1 | 69–88 |
Change is in Washington's win chance, in points. Scores read Utah Tech, then Washington. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Utah Tech 1-2LWL
- Nov 10L 86-118at Utah StateDidn't cover +25.5 · Over 156.5
- Nov 4W 103-52vs Grace University
- Nov 2L 60-100at New Mexico
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 83.0 and allowing 90.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
Washington 2-0WW
- Nov 9W 77-64vs Miss Valley StDidn't cover −31.5 · Under 153.5
- Nov 2W 90-76vs Colgate
- Last 2
- 2–0, scoring 83.5 and allowing 70.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Utah Tech | Washington | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 102.6 205th | 110.6 87th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 114.9 336th | 104.8 112th |
| Possessions a game | 71.5 103rd | 70.5 215th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.5% 104th | 50.4% 196th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.4% 309th | 50.8% 202nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.2% 86th | 18.2% 202nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.3% 317th | 32.6% 126th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 321st | 0.27 132nd |
The widest gap: Washington's offense (87th) against Utah Tech's defense (336th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Utah Tech 32, Washington 42
- First-half margin
- Washington by 9.7
- First-half points, both teams
- 73.6
- Projected second half
- Utah Tech 38, Washington 46
- Second-half points, both teams
- 83.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Utah Tech, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 41.7 scored, 38.7 allowed
- Washington, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 2 · 44.0 scored, 35.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Utah Tech
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Brown Jr.G | 27 | 9.5 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 2+ reb 56% · 3+ ast 45% | |||||
| Ethan PotterF | 26 | 14.4 | 7.2 | 1.7 | 0.4 |
| 15+ pts 45% · 7+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Owen MackayG | 26 | 7.6 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 3+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 58% | |||||
| Christian GibsonG | 25 | 14.2 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 44% · 2+ ast 53% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Aris RodriguezG | 23 | 10.1 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 48% · 2+ threes 43% | |||||
| Preston VandermydeG | 20 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 2+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Aaron BlissNA | 15 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 29% | |||||
Washington
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan BeasleyG | 32 | 12.9 | 5.0 | 4.6 | 2.3 |
| 15+ pts 36% · 5+ reb 52% · 5+ ast 47% | |||||
| LeJuan WattsG | 28 | 13.4 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 1.1 |
| 15+ pts 39% · 6+ reb 55% · 3+ ast 59% | |||||
| Wesley Yates IIIG | 26 | 9.9 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| 10+ pts 47% · 3+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Tayshawn ComerG | 23 | 8.9 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 3+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Nikola DzepinaF | 23 | 10.0 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 4+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
| Steele VentersG | 19 | 7.6 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 2.3 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 2+ reb 57% · 2+ threes 61% | |||||
| Lathan SommervilleC | 18 | 7.0 | 3.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 4+ reb 51% | |||||
| Parker FriedrichsenG | 18 | 9.3 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 53% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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