Utah Tech 60, New Mexico 100
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 9:00 PM ET at The Pit. Utah Tech our rank 283 · 1-2; New Mexico our rank 48 · 3-0.
Who won Utah Tech vs New Mexico?
Final: New Mexico 100, Utah Tech 60. Before tip-off the model gave New Mexico a 97% chance to win, with a projected margin of 23.5 points for New Mexico. Jake Hall scored 30 for New Mexico; Christian Gibson had 23 for Utah Tech.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Jake Hall: Utah Tech 5%New Mexico 95%
The white mark is the call with him: New Mexico 97%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | New Mexico without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico | ||||
| Jake Hall | 3.9 | 95% | −2 | 59–79 |
| Uriah Tenette | 3.0 | 95% | −2 | 59–79 |
| Hudson Mayes | 2.8 | 95% | −2 | 59–79 |
| Chris Howell | 2.5 | 96% | −1 | 58–79 |
| Utah Tech | ||||
| Ethan Potter | 1.5 | 98% | +1 | 56–81 |
Change is in New Mexico's win chance, in points. Scores read Utah Tech, then New Mexico. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Utah Tech
No games yet this season: this is its first.
New Mexico
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Utah Tech | New Mexico | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 102.6 205th | 116.0 41st |
| Points allowed per 100 | 114.9 336th | 99.8 53rd |
| Possessions a game | 71.5 103rd | 72.0 63rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.5% 104th | 52.4% 64th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.4% 309th | 49.8% 137th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.2% 86th | 16.1% 13th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.3% 317th | 31.4% 201st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 321st | 0.26 179th |
The widest gap: New Mexico's offense (41st) against Utah Tech's defense (336th), of 365 teams.
First half
New Mexico led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 7.9 points and the total by 6.3.
- At halftime
- Utah Tech 33, New Mexico 38
- Projected halftime score
- Utah Tech 26, New Mexico 39
- First-half margin
- New Mexico by 12.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.7
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Utah Tech
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen MackayG | 31 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Mark Brown Jr.G | 31 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Ethan PotterF | 30 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| Christian GibsonG | 30 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Aris RodriguezG | 27 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Preston VandermydeG | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Samuel AriyibiF | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron BlissNA | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Boston HarkerG | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
New Mexico
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tunde Vahlberg FasasiF | 32 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Uriah TenetteG | 30 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Jake HallG | 27 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| Hudson MayesG | 23 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Dax HallG | 23 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Chris HowellG | 23 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| Benjamin SchuchF | 20 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 |
| Federico GraniF | 12 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Fynn LastringF | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |