Montana St at High Point
Thursday, November 19, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Qubein Center. Montana St our rank 118 · 1-2; High Point our rank 67 · 4-0.
Who will win Montana St vs High Point?
The model gives High Point a 85% chance to beat Montana State, with a projected score of High Point 82, Montana St 70.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 84.9% of the time in 12,246 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High Point | |||||
| FletcherF · 23 min | 13.0 | 7.2 | 0.8 | 15+ 37% | |
| BrownG · 22 min | 11.9 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 10+ 61% | |
| Rivera-TorresG · 20 min | 11.2 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 10+ 57% | |
| GarrettF · 23 min | 8.6 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 10+ 38% | |
| Montana St | |||||
| DavisG · 28 min | 13.0 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 15+ 36% | |
| KingF · 28 min | 12.1 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 10+ 63% | |
| MillerG · 30 min | 10.8 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 10+ 54% | |
| HoldenG · 26 min | 7.2 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 5+ 67% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Cam'Ron Fletcher: Montana St 21%High Point 79%
The white mark is the call with him: High Point 85%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | High Point without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| High Point | ||||
| Cam'Ron Fletcher | 2.9 | 79% | −6 | 72–80 |
| Jason Rivera-Torres | 2.0 | 81% | −4 | 71–81 |
| CJ Brown | 1.9 | 81% | −4 | 71–81 |
| Isaac Garrett | 1.7 | 81% | −4 | 71–81 |
| Montana St | ||||
| Jed Miller | 2.5 | 90% | +5 | 69–83 |
| Jeremiah Davis | 1.6 | 88% | +3 | 69–83 |
| Christian King | 1.4 | 88% | +3 | 69–82 |
| Jaden Steppe | 0.7 | 87% | +2 | 70–82 |
Change is in High Point's win chance, in points. Scores read Montana St, then High Point. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Montana St 1-2LWL
- Nov 12L 71-86at BYUCovered +21.5 · Under 162.5
- Nov 7W 83-70vs Long Beach StCovered −10.5 · Over 144.5
- Nov 2L 74-84at Colorado St
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 76.0 and allowing 80.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
High Point 4-0WWWW
- Nov 12W 88-59vs Southern UtahCovered −22.5 · Under 158.5
- Nov 7W 83-71vs Washington StDidn't cover −13.5 · Under 156.5
- Nov 4W 63-49vs MD Eastern
- Nov 1W 72-57vs Liberty
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 76.5 and allowing 59.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Montana St | High Point | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 108.8 105th | 111.3 82nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 107.3 159th | 99.3 48th |
| Possessions a game | 70.3 238th | 71.5 103rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 52.3% 68th | 51.1% 138th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.7% 321st | 49.0% 68th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.3% 97th | 19.4% 312th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.0% 279th | 32.0% 160th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 301st | 0.27 137th |
The widest gap: High Point's offense (82nd) against Montana St's defense (159th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Montana St 32, High Point 39
- First-half margin
- High Point by 6.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 71.3
- Projected second half
- Montana St 38, High Point 43
- Second-half points, both teams
- 80.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Montana St, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 36.0 scored, 39.7 allowed
- High Point, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 33.7 scored, 27.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Montana St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed MillerG | 30 | 10.8 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 58% | |||||
| Christian KingF | 28 | 12.1 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 5+ reb 44% · 2+ threes 53% | |||||
| Jeremiah DavisG | 28 | 13.0 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 41% | |||||
| Cavin HoldenG | 26 | 7.2 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 2+ reb 53% · 3+ ast 45% | |||||
| Howie KeeneG | 23 | 6.1 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 54% · 2+ threes 39% | |||||
| Jaden SteppeF | 22 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 4+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Darnez SlaterG | 16 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 2+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| London PraytorF | 16 | 6.4 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 4+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
High Point
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam'Ron FletcherF | 23 | 13.0 | 7.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 15+ pts 37% · 7+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
| Isaac GarrettF | 23 | 8.6 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 6+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 35% | |||||
| CJ BrownG | 22 | 11.9 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 61% · 3+ reb 46% · 3+ ast 60% | |||||
| Braden HausenF | 22 | 5.8 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 3+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 36% | |||||
| Curtis Williams Jr.G | 21 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 41% · 2+ threes 39% | |||||
| Frankquon ShermanF | 20 | 7.4 | 5.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 6+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Jason Rivera-TorresG | 20 | 11.2 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 5+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Conrad MartinezG | 16 | 5.4 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 2+ ast 54% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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