Seton Hall v Wisconsin
Thursday, November 19, 2026, 8:30 PM ET at Baha Mar Convention Center. Seton Hall our rank 95 · 3-0; Wisconsin our rank 39 · 3-0.
Who will win Seton Hall vs Wisconsin?
The model gives Wisconsin a 76% chance to beat Seton Hall, with a projected score of Wisconsin 73, Seton Hall 65.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin | |||||
| CarringtonG · 26 min | 11.8 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 10+ 61% | |
| FoxwellG · 26 min | 11.1 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 10+ 56% | |
| ElmerG · 25 min | 10.7 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 10+ 53% | |
| WinterF · 25 min | 7.5 | 6.6 | 1.6 | 5+ 68% | |
| Seton Hall | |||||
| AndersonG · 26 min | 13.3 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 15+ 38% | |
| FisherG · 29 min | 7.9 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 10+ 33% | |
| Copeland Jr.F · 18 min | 6.7 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 5+ 62% | |
| WilliamsF · 20 min | 6.4 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 5+ 59% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Nolan Winter: Seton Hall 35%Wisconsin 65%
The white mark is the call with him: Wisconsin 76%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Wisconsin without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin | ||||
| Nolan Winter | 3.8 | 65% | −11 | 67–71 |
| Braeden Carrington | 3.3 | 66% | −10 | 67–72 |
| Austin Rapp | 2.7 | 68% | −8 | 67–72 |
| Eian Elmer | 2.4 | 69% | −7 | 66–72 |
| Seton Hall | ||||
| Elijah Fisher | 1.9 | 81% | +5 | 64–74 |
| Roddie Anderson | 1.8 | 81% | +5 | 64–74 |
| Devin Williams | 1.5 | 80% | +4 | 65–74 |
| Simeon Wilcher | 1.5 | 80% | +4 | 65–74 |
Change is in Wisconsin's win chance, in points. Scores read Seton Hall, then Wisconsin. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Seton Hall 3-0WWW
- Nov 9W 68-62vs CharlotteCovered −4.5 · Under 130.5
- Nov 5W 67-60vs Long IslandDidn't cover −17.5 · Under 135.5
- Nov 2W 66-42vs Saint Peter's
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 67.0 and allowing 54.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Seton Hall | Wisconsin | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 103.8 186th | 113.6 63rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 97.1 30th | 96.3 29th |
| Possessions a game | 69.5 307th | 71.3 121st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.2% 279th | 50.4% 189th |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.3% 95th | 46.9% 15th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.9% 276th | 17.9% 166th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.8% 251st | 32.3% 146th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.28 81st | 0.24 297th |
The widest gap: Wisconsin's defense (29th) against Seton Hall's offense (186th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Seton Hall 30, Wisconsin 35
- First-half margin
- Wisconsin by 4.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 65.0
- Projected second half
- Seton Hall 35, Wisconsin 39
- Second-half points, both teams
- 73.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Seton Hall, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 34.0 scored, 26.0 allowed
- Wisconsin, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 43.7 scored, 26.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Seton Hall
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah FisherG | 29 | 7.9 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 4+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 40% | |||||
| Simeon WilcherG | 27 | 5.7 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 3+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 39% | |||||
| Roddie AndersonG | 26 | 13.3 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Devin WilliamsF | 20 | 6.4 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 4+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 32% | |||||
| Terry Copeland Jr.F | 18 | 6.7 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 4+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 15% | |||||
| Mihailo PetrovicG | 17 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Del JonesG | 16 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 2+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 42% | |||||
| Trey ParkerG | 16 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 2+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
Wisconsin
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen FoxwellG | 26 | 11.1 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Braeden CarringtonG | 26 | 11.8 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 2.4 |
| 10+ pts 61% · 3+ reb 59% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Nolan WinterF | 25 | 7.5 | 6.6 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 7+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Eian ElmerG | 25 | 10.7 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 38% | |||||
| Austin RappF | 21 | 7.4 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 37% | |||||
| Victory OnuetuF | 17 | 5.1 | 6.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 7+ reb 48% | |||||
| Jack JanickiG | 15 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 24% · 2+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Jackson BallG | 13 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 2+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 27% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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