Norfolk St at Georgia Tech
Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at McCamish Pavilion. Norfolk St our rank 354 · 2-2; Georgia Tech our rank 108 · 3-0.
Who will win Norfolk St vs Georgia Tech?
The model gives Georgia Tech a 98% chance to beat Norfolk State, with a projected score of Georgia Tech 88, Norfolk St 64.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Tech | |||||
| GarlandG · 27 min | 16.0 | 3.4 | 4.3 | 15+ 55% | |
| WhitlockG · 26 min | 14.9 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 15+ 48% | |
| JordanF · 27 min | 14.2 | 5.9 | 1.5 | 15+ 44% | |
| CraftG · 24 min | 10.2 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 10+ 49% | |
| Norfolk St | |||||
| LasterG · 30 min | 12.1 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 10+ 62% | |
| SkyersG · 26 min | 11.3 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 10+ 57% | |
| WalkerG · 24 min | 8.3 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 10+ 35% | |
| Riley Jr.F · 21 min | 6.4 | 4.8 | 0.6 | 5+ 60% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Colby Garland: Norfolk St 3%Georgia Tech 97%
The white mark is the call with him: Georgia Tech 98%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Georgia Tech without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Tech | ||||
| Colby Garland | 2.3 | 97% | −1 | 66–87 |
| Jackson Fields | 1.7 | 97% | −1 | 65–87 |
| Nasir Whitlock | 1.3 | 98% | 0 | 65–88 |
| Victor Valdes | 1.2 | 98% | 0 | 65–88 |
Change is in Georgia Tech's win chance, in points. Scores read Norfolk St, then Georgia Tech. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Norfolk St 2-2WWLL
- Nov 11L 60-71vs Old DominionDidn't cover +6.5 · Under 136.5
- Nov 8L 73-104at William & MaryDidn't cover +10.5 · Over 157.5
- Nov 4W 78-71vs Randolph
- Nov 2W 68-45vs Regent
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 69.8 and allowing 72.8
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Georgia Tech 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 85-71vs E KentuckyDidn't cover −15.5 · Under 165.5
- Nov 6W 95-83vs GA SouthernDidn't cover −17.5 · Over 159.5
- Nov 3W 75-55vs Hampton
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 85.0 and allowing 69.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Norfolk St | Georgia Tech | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 95.3 335th | 107.0 125th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 116.8 355th | 102.7 93rd |
| Possessions a game | 70.7 196th | 73.1 18th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.4% 258th | 49.4% 255th |
| Opponents' shooting | 53.6% 346th | 48.8% 61st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.9% 169th | 19.2% 300th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 28.4% 340th | 32.9% 112th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.32 14th | 0.31 24th |
The widest gap: Georgia Tech's defense (93rd) against Norfolk St's offense (335th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Norfolk St 29, Georgia Tech 42
- First-half margin
- Georgia Tech by 13.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 71.6
- Projected second half
- Norfolk St 35, Georgia Tech 46
- Second-half points, both teams
- 81.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Norfolk St, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 32.2 scored, 34.8 allowed
- Georgia Tech, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 44.7 scored, 34.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Norfolk St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahsil LasterG | 30 | 12.1 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Jordan SkyersG | 26 | 11.3 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Chris WalkerG | 24 | 8.3 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 41% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Justin JonesG | 21 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 2+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| J.C. Riley Jr.F | 21 | 6.4 | 4.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 5+ reb 50% | |||||
| Keon MitchellG | 21 | 5.7 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 2+ reb 38% · 2+ ast 39% | |||||
| Jahki GuptonF | 18 | 5.0 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Dramane CamaraG | 16 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 2+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
Georgia Tech
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby GarlandG | 27 | 16.0 | 3.4 | 4.3 | 0.5 |
| 15+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 43% · 5+ ast 42% | |||||
| Tylis JordanF | 27 | 14.2 | 5.9 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| 15+ pts 44% · 6+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Nasir WhitlockG | 26 | 14.9 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 2.0 |
| 15+ pts 48% · 3+ ast 53% · 2+ threes 54% | |||||
| Kam CraftG | 24 | 10.2 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 54% · 2+ threes 58% | |||||
| Jackson FieldsF | 23 | 7.5 | 5.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 6+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 35% | |||||
| Victor ValdesF | 17 | 9.5 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 3+ ast 55% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Cole KirouacC | 15 | 3.4 | 4.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 5+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 17% | |||||
| Kaiden BaileyG | 11 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 22% · 2+ reb 38% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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