Norfolk St at Georgia St
Sunday, November 15, 2026, 1:00 PM ET at GSU Convocation Center. Norfolk St our rank 354 · 2-2; Georgia St our rank 278 · 1-3.
Who will win Norfolk St vs Georgia St?
The model gives Georgia State a 81% chance to beat Norfolk State, with a projected score of Georgia St 80, Norfolk St 70.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 84.9% of the time in 12,246 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia St | |||||
| MeyerG · 35 min | 18.9 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 20+ 44% | |
| JacksonG · 35 min | 17.1 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 15+ 61% | |
| Fredson-ColeF · 30 min | 12.1 | 8.6 | 2.8 | 10+ 63% | |
| ParnellG · 24 min | 10.9 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 10+ 54% | |
| Norfolk St | |||||
| LasterG · 32 min | 13.6 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 15+ 41% | |
| SkyersG · 27 min | 12.5 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 10+ 65% | |
| WalkerG · 24 min | 9.1 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 10+ 41% | |
| Riley Jr.F · 22 min | 6.9 | 5.2 | 0.7 | 5+ 64% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Jacolb Fredson-Cole: Norfolk St 22%Georgia St 78%
The white mark is the call with him: Georgia St 81%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Georgia St without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia St | ||||
| Jacolb Fredson-Cole | 0.9 | 78% | −3 | 71–80 |
Change is in Georgia St's win chance, in points. Scores read Norfolk St, then Georgia St. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Norfolk St 2-2WWLL
- Nov 11L 60-71vs Old DominionDidn't cover +6.5 · Under 136.5
- Nov 8L 73-104at William & MaryDidn't cover +10.5 · Over 157.5
- Nov 4W 78-71vs Randolph
- Nov 2W 68-45vs Regent
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 69.8 and allowing 72.8
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Georgia St 1-3LLWL
- Nov 10L 92-95at Fresno StCovered +5.5 · Over 145.5
- Nov 7W 111-61vs Andrew
- Nov 5L 67-77at CharlotteCovered +11.5 · Over 143.5
- Nov 2L 73-76vs Bowling Green
- Last 4
- 1–3, scoring 85.8 and allowing 77.2
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Norfolk St | Georgia St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 95.3 335th | 100.5 259th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 116.8 355th | 112.5 299th |
| Possessions a game | 70.7 196th | 70.9 171st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.4% 258th | 51.3% 122nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 53.6% 346th | 51.1% 233rd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.9% 169th | 17.3% 92nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 28.4% 340th | 31.1% 227th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.32 14th | 0.23 333rd |
The widest gap: Georgia St's offense (259th) against Norfolk St's defense (355th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Norfolk St 33, Georgia St 38
- First-half margin
- Georgia St by 5.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 70.5
- Projected second half
- Norfolk St 38, Georgia St 42
- Second-half points, both teams
- 79.7
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Norfolk St, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 32.2 scored, 34.8 allowed
- Georgia St, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 38.2 scored, 35.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Norfolk St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahsil LasterG | 32 | 13.6 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 0.5 |
| 15+ pts 41% · 4+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 58% | |||||
| Jordan SkyersG | 27 | 12.5 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 65% · 4+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 59% | |||||
| Chris WalkerG | 24 | 9.1 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Justin JonesG | 22 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 31% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Keon MitchellG | 22 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 2+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| J.C. Riley Jr.F | 22 | 6.9 | 5.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 5+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 16% | |||||
| Jahki GuptonF | 18 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 3+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| Dramane CamaraG | 16 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 2+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
Georgia St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob MeyerG | 35 | 18.9 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 1.8 |
| 20+ pts 44% · 5+ ast 46% · 2+ threes 48% | |||||
| Jaden JacksonG | 35 | 17.1 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 3.9 |
| 15+ pts 61% · 4+ reb 47% · 4+ threes 50% | |||||
| Jacolb Fredson-ColeF | 30 | 12.1 | 8.6 | 2.8 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 3+ ast 51% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| David ThomasG | 29 | 9.6 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 2+ ast 54% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Eric ParnellG | 24 | 10.9 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 2.1 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ threes 55% | |||||
| Mason NicholsonC | 20 | 3.8 | 4.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 5+ reb 49% | |||||
| Chris JonesG | 20 | 9.0 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Orion WilsonF | 10 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 24% · 3+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 21% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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