Who won FDU vs Illinois?
Final: Illinois 120, Fairleigh Dickinson 45. Before tip-off the model gave Illinois a >99% chance to win, with a projected margin of 37.3 points for Illinois. Andrej Stojakovic scored 20 for Illinois; David Jevtic had 13 for FDU.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Andrej Stojakovic: FDU <1%Illinois >99%
The white mark is the call with him: Illinois >99%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Illinois without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Illinois | ||||
| Andrej Stojakovic | 5.3 | >99% | 0 | 50–82 |
| Tomislav Ivisic | 4.5 | >99% | 0 | 50–83 |
| Stefan Vaaks | 3.1 | >99% | 0 | 49–84 |
| Zvonimir Ivisic | 3.1 | >99% | 0 | 49–84 |
Change is in Illinois's win chance, in points. Scores read FDU, then Illinois. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| FDU | Illinois | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 100.4 260th | 125.2 1st |
| Points allowed per 100 | 116.0 348th | 94.0 19th |
| Possessions a game | 69.0 333rd | 71.4 111th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.4% 257th | 55.7% 3rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 53.2% 336th | 45.7% 4th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 16.8% 48th | 17.5% 111th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.6% 300th | 36.2% 6th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.26 197th | 0.21 353rd |
The widest gap: Illinois's offense (1st) against FDU's defense (348th), of 365 teams.
First half
Illinois led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 26.5 points and the total by 24.6.
- At halftime
- FDU 20, Illinois 67
- Projected halftime score
- FDU 21, Illinois 41
- First-half margin
- Illinois by 20.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
FDU
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis TorainF | 27 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| JR JacobsG | 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| David JevticG | 23 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 2 |
| Vophcy PropheteG | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Ras Elijah GodboltG | 21 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Raysean JohnsonG | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bol AguF | 19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Pavle StosicF | 17 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Devin WrightG | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Illinois
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zavier ZensF | 24 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Ethan BrownG | 23 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 2 |
| Quentin ColemanG | 23 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 2 |
| Andrej StojakovicG | 20 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| Stefan VaaksG | 19 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Lucas MorilloNA | 19 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 1 |
| Tomislav IvisicC | 16 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Landon DavisF | 14 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Jason JakstysC | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |