Who will win NJIT vs Fairfield?
The model gives Fairfield a 85% chance to beat NJIT, with a projected score of Fairfield 77, NJIT 65.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 84.9% of the time in 12,246 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fairfield | |||||
| WucherpfennigG · 31 min | 14.4 | 8.2 | 1.5 | 15+ 45% | |
| WilliamsG · 20 min | 7.4 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5+ 68% | |
| SmithF · 19 min | 7.4 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 5+ 68% | |
| EdelenG · 16 min | 7.1 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5+ 65% | |
 NJIT | |||||
| BoldenG · 30 min | 10.6 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 10+ 53% | |
| VanderstraetenF · 26 min | 9.3 | 5.7 | 0.7 | 10+ 43% | |
| CoffiF · 26 min | 6.9 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 5+ 64% | |
| Stores Jr.G · 22 min | 5.8 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 5+ 54% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Qadir Martin: NJIT 16%Fairfield 84%
The white mark is the call with him: Fairfield 85%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Fairfield without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield | ||||
| Qadir Martin | 0.6 | 84% | −1 | 65–77 |
Change is in Fairfield's win chance, in points. Scores read NJIT, then Fairfield. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
NJIT 1-4LLWLL
- Nov 11L 49-87at VCUDidn't cover +33.5 · Under 149.5
- Nov 10L 64-101at RutgersDidn't cover +25.5 · Over 143.5
- Nov 8W 54-52vs Saint Peter'sCovered +1.5 · Under 132.5
- Nov 5L 49-72at IonaDidn't cover +9.5 · Under 146.5
- Nov 2L 58-89at Dayton
- Last five
- 1–4, scoring 54.8 and allowing 80.2
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–3
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 3 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| NJIT | Fairfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 91.5 361st | 97.5 310th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 116.4 350th | 110.4 239th |
| Possessions a game | 70.1 261st | 70.7 196th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.2% 365th | 44.9% 363rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 51.6% 264th | 52.8% 323rd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.4% 110th | 16.5% 30th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.7% 293rd | 31.9% 168th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.26 192nd | 0.26 175th |
The widest gap: Fairfield's defense (239th) against NJIT's offense (361st), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- NJIT 30, Fairfield 37
- First-half margin
- Fairfield by 6.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 66.6
- Projected second half
- NJIT 35, Fairfield 40
- Second-half points, both teams
- 75.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- NJIT, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 5 · 24.2 scored, 38.6 allowed
- Fairfield, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 23.7 scored, 40.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
NJIT
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David BoldenG | 30 | 10.6 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 3+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 52% | |||||
| Victor VanderstraetenF | 26 | 9.3 | 5.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 6+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 37% | |||||
| Matheo CoffiF | 26 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 5+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Mario Tatum Jr.G | 22 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 2+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Brandon Stores Jr.G | 22 | 5.8 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 3+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
| John KellyF | 18 | 4.5 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
| Rocco AwadG | 17 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 2+ reb 39% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Quentin DuncanG | 13 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 2+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
Fairfield
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan WucherpfennigG | 31 | 14.4 | 8.2 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| 15+ pts 45% · 8+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Halon RawlinsG | 24 | 6.3 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 4+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Jah HatchettG | 20 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 2+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Tony WilliamsG | 20 | 7.4 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Peyton SmithF | 19 | 7.4 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 5+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 24% | |||||
| Cole EdelenG | 16 | 7.1 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 2+ reb 52% · 2+ threes 36% | |||||
| Qadir MartinF | 16 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 46% | |||||
| Eric MejiaG | 15 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 25% · 2+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 26% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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