Who will win Campbell vs Oklahoma?
The model gives Oklahoma a 95% chance to beat Campbell, with a projected score of Oklahoma 85, Campbell 67.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Oklahoma | |||||
| BrownG · 30 min | 13.1 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 15+ 38% | |
| ReidF · 30 min | 13.0 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 15+ 37% | |
| EdwardsG · 26 min | 11.2 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 10+ 57% | |
| IsaacsG · 27 min | 11.1 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 10+ 56% | |
 Campbell | |||||
| InglemonG · 32 min | 16.6 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 15+ 58% | |
| WaddlesG · 34 min | 14.1 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 15+ 44% | |
| KapicF · 27 min | 9.3 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 10+ 43% | |
| Wright Jr.G · 33 min | 7.5 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 5+ 68% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Xzayvier Brown: Campbell 8%Oklahoma 92%
The white mark is the call with him: Oklahoma 95%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Oklahoma without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma | ||||
| Xzayvier Brown | 2.7 | 92% | −3 | 68–84 |
| B.J. Edwards | 2.7 | 92% | −3 | 68–84 |
| Derrion Reid | 2.3 | 92% | −3 | 68–84 |
| Duke Brennan | 2.2 | 92% | −3 | 68–84 |
| Campbell | ||||
| Nordin Kapic | 0.7 | 96% | +1 | 67–86 |
| Lance Waddles | 0.6 | 95% | 0 | 67–86 |
Change is in Oklahoma's win chance, in points. Scores read Campbell, then Oklahoma. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Campbell 0-3LLL
- Nov 11L 53-68at ETSUDidn't cover +4.5 · Under 145.5
- Nov 8L 71-87at W MichiganDidn't cover +4.5 · Over 151.5
- Nov 2L 64-83at NC State
- Last 3
- 0–3, scoring 62.7 and allowing 79.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Oklahoma 2-1LWW
- Nov 9W 81-72vs North AlabamaDidn't cover −28.5 · Over 147.5
- Nov 6W 84-57vs Miss Valley StDidn't cover −40.5 · Under 152.5
- Nov 2L 64-68vs East Texas A&M
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 76.3 and allowing 65.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Campbell | Oklahoma | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 103.7 189th | 114.2 59th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 110.7 249th | 102.4 90th |
| Possessions a game | 70.5 215th | 70.1 261st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.0% 224th | 49.8% 231st |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.2% 298th | 51.5% 254th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 15.6% 6th | 18.0% 178th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.9% 236th | 32.7% 123rd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 329th | 0.25 264th |
The widest gap: Oklahoma's offense (59th) against Campbell's defense (249th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Campbell 31, Oklahoma 41
- First-half margin
- Oklahoma by 10.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 71.5
- Projected second half
- Campbell 36, Oklahoma 45
- Second-half points, both teams
- 80.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Campbell, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 26.3 scored, 35.7 allowed
- Oklahoma, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 33.3 scored, 30.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Campbell
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance WaddlesG | 34 | 14.1 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 15+ pts 44% · 6+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 44% | |||||
| AJ Wright Jr.G | 33 | 7.5 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 3+ reb 55% · 4+ ast 44% | |||||
| Rashawn InglemonG | 32 | 16.6 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 2.7 |
| 15+ pts 58% · 3+ reb 49% · 3+ threes 46% | |||||
| Nordin KapicF | 27 | 9.3 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 5+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 65% | |||||
| Sentinel MooreF | 22 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 4+ reb 41% · 2+ ast 20% | |||||
| Caleb McAbeeG | 18 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 37% · 2+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Emilis ButkusG | 14 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 75% to play · 5+ pts 26% · 2+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Luka SavanovicG | 12 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 17% · 2+ reb 37% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
Oklahoma
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrion ReidF | 30 | 13.0 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 37% · 6+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
| Xzayvier BrownG | 30 | 13.1 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 2.3 |
| 15+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 57% · 4+ ast 52% | |||||
| Pop IsaacsG | 27 | 11.1 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 2.3 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 53% · 4+ ast 47% | |||||
| B.J. EdwardsG | 26 | 11.2 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 4+ reb 54% · 2+ threes 48% | |||||
| Khani RoothsF | 24 | 7.4 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 5+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Duke BrennanF | 21 | 9.2 | 6.2 | 1.1 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 6+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 28% | |||||
| Dayton ForsytheG | 19 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 2+ reb 38% · 2+ ast 60% | |||||
| Kai RogersF | 10 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 15% · 3+ reb 41% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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